The Lee County housing supply demand gap widens to its highest point in years. Supply is rising while demand is falling. This is a sign of a slowly shifting market.

Housing Supply Demand Gap Widens

The Fed raised interest rates at the fastest pace ever in the past year, so it’s no wonder demand has fallen off.  In fact, people are wondering how it’s held up so well. The data suggests it only looks like it’s held up so well.

Housing Supply Demand Gap Widens

We’ve had such low inventory numbers it masked falling demand. The whole thing worked because, so few sellers had put their home on the market. It appeared that demand exceeded supply, but we know that changed last summer because we track the numbers.

Looking back at the charts, inventory levels still are not bad. Inventory levels are now back to about May 2020 levels but heading higher. The SW Florida real estate market appears to have entered a balanced market. This is normal as markets rarely stay at the exact same place for long. Markets are always moving, and when you apply pressure to them it can begin the move. In this case, the pressure is rising rates, companies calling workers back to the office, and a slowing economy.

Price Direction

Where do home prices go from here? It’s hard to imagine prices rising substantially in the wake of rising inventory and slowing demand. At some point the mask comes off. Perhaps this is why we are seeing so many price reductions in MLS. This past week 423 single family home sellers in Lee County reduced their price. Sellers are not reducing their price because they want to. They are reducing their price because the market has spoken and rejected their current price.  They can sit where they are and fall further behind or adjust to the shifting market.

Marketing Matters

The other thing that can most benefit home sellers is an active marketing campaign. Listing it on the MLS is not enough in a shifting market, but unfortunately 85% of Realtors in the market today have never been in a balanced or buyer’s market. This requires more advertising. Many agents didn’t get into the business to spend their own money, they got into it because it looked easy and could make them money.

Folks, this is a normal market, and it is going to require agents to spend money marketing a property. The easy days of listing a property and selling it within 4 hours with 16 offers are gone. Experience matters now. The housing supply demand gap is widening. The agent’s pocketbook matters now. Handling buyer objections once the inspection is completed matters now, because buyers are anxious. To the buyer, everything has gone up. Interest rates, insurance, prices, etc. They feel like they are paying for it all and they want a house with no troubles.

Inspection Formula

 We have a formula that helps buyers understand the inspection and repair process. It makes it logical for sellers to come to an agreement over inspection issues. This formula helps reduce things buyers and sellers fight over and keeps more deals together.

If you’re thinking of selling your home, please call Brett and Sande Ellis at 239-310-6500. We have the marketing muscle to get your home sold, and the experience to keep deals together when possible. We also have a program that speeds up the home selling process along with a video that explains how we could do such a thing. If you’d like your home sold for Top Dollar, and quickly, simply email Brett@topagent.com request the video and I’ll email it to you.

Sande and Brett Ellis are here to help. Good luck and Happy Selling!

Be sure to read our “Advanced Home Neogtiationg Techniques” article on how to better sell your home in today’s market, or watch our video below.

Ellis Team Weekend Open House

Reflection Lakes Open House Sunday 1-4 PM

7674 Bay Lake Dr, Fort Myers

Reflection Lakes Open House
Open House Sunday 1-4 PM

Let’s analyze home prices nine months after Hurricane Ian. We did this post Hurricane Charley and Hurricane Irma as well.

Home Prices Nine Months After Ian

Official median home prices last September in Lee County were $414,495. Average home prices were $534,035. Official numbers are not out yet for June, so we went into MLS and extracted data that should be close to actual numbers when they are released.

Home Prices Higher After Ian

 Unofficial June 2023 Lee County median price was $449,000. That is an 8.32% gain from September of last year. The average price in Lee County for a single-family home in June was $589,991. That is a 10.48% gain over September last year.

We know that home prices were coming down prior to the hurricane. Rising interest rates surely played a part in that decline. Much like hurricanes Charley and Irma, it doesn’t appear that the hurricane had much influence on home prices. Perhaps the greatest influence was which home sellers decided to sell. While demand has fallen with rising interest rates and insurance costs, it hasn’t gone away. Demand is still there. Sellers must price correctly for sure.

Because there is still demand, we may see lower prices if more lower end homes enter the market, and higher prices if more higher end homes hit the market. Obviously when supply outstrips demand it can lower prices, but through last year inventory was low, and the hurricane didn’t help that.

Rising Inventory

 Today we are seeing much more inventory.  Single family home inventory has almost quadrupled since February of 2022. If inventory keeps rising, we will be entering a balanced market. If you talk to most real estate agents, they will tell you this market feels like a balanced market.

We don’t have 50 offers for every property, but homes don’t sit forever either, if they are priced and marketed correctly.

We are seeing agents leaving the business. At last count 60,000+ agents nationwide have left, and we are expecting hundreds of thousands more. This happens with every shift in the market. So many agents come into the business and work in one part of the market. There are three different markets and how you consult and transact are completely different in each.

Three Markets

 The three markets are a buyer’s market, seller’s market, and a balanced market. Once the market makes a move, it’s very easy to slide through all three, or drift back and forth depending on market conditions. We’ve just gone from a severe seller’s market to a balanced market.  Interest rates are on the rise again. Mortgage rates hit their high for the year this past week and may go higher.

The economy is expected to slow down as rising debt is weighing on consumers. Student loan payments begin in October which will take spending money out of the economy.

For Florida we will be watching to see how many people continue moving to our state. As taxes rise in other states and people continue to move out of cities, where will they go? To date, many have chosen Florida which helped push our prices up. With rising prices, interest rates, and insurance costs it remains to be seen how many and how fast they will continue to relocate here.

It is possible a slowing economy might force people to relocate when they lose jobs up north. Others may simply decide to retire. Whatever happens, you know that we will be studying the numbers. Ellis Team clients always know the trends before other home buyers and sellers because we track the market so closely. We have years of data and analytics.

Search Like a Pro

 To search the MLS like a real estate pro, check out www.LeeCountyOnline.com It has features and data other sites do not have. Of course, Sande and Brett Ellis are here to answer your questions as well. 239-489-4042. Brett and Sande have worked in all three markets multiple times. There is no substitute for experience, hard work, reputation, data, and analytics. That’s what you get when you call the Ellis Team at Keller Williams Realty.

Advanced Negotiating Techniques

Last week we shot a video  utilizing advanced home negotiating techniques which you can find on our YouTube Channel  We also posted the video on our Facebook page at www.facebook.com/ellisteam.

Advanced Home Negotiating Techniques

We thought we’d share with you these advanced home negotiating techniques. The best part of the first technique is that it benefits both the buyer and the seller if used properly.

In a shifting market with rising inventory most sellers realize they must be competitive. Reducing the price is one way to get in the game, but what if there is another?

Simultaneously, the reason we have rising inventory is because buyers are struggling to pay higher prices and higher rates at the same time.  Today we’d like to share a concept that will help both.

Permanent Rate Change

Let’s say we have a $500,000 home. Also let’s say we have a buyer putting 20% down and financing $400,000.  The buyer could offer $490,000 to help make their payment a little better.  We ran a scenario last week, and by offering $10,000 less the buyer would save about $72/mo.  Not bad if the seller is willing to participate.  But what if the buyer still does not qualify?  This particular buyer might have to offer $450,000 to qualify. It’s a shame because this buyer loves the home, but the seller won’t come down to $450,000.

Now, let’s take the exact same home and the exact same buyer and look at it a different way. What if the buyer offered the list price of$500,000 but asked the seller to pay closing costs up to $10,000? With that money we buy the rate down from 7.5% with $2,000 in points to 6.25% with around $10,000 in points. By buying the rate down the new payment lowers by $333.99. The buyer qualifies for this payment when they did not qualify for the previous payment.

It is the same $10,000 just used a different way. The results can be enormous. You can watch the entire video online that explains it. Our example only shows the principal and interest portion. Obviously there will be taxes and insurance which varies by property.

Additionally, these numbers change by credit score, amount down, etc. Every buyer and every scenario is different. What stays the same is the concept. Once you understand the concept, we can run scenarios that best help your situation.

2/1 Buydown Option

We looked at a 2/1 buydown, but the day we ran it the permanent buydown was a better deal. A 2/1 buydown lowers the rate by about 2 percent the first year and 1 percent the second year before setting in on the permanent rates the final 28 years.  The buydown is temporary.

There are many more types of loan products we have access to. Keep in mind, we are not lenders. We are real estate agents that understand the process because we’ve worked through several interest rate cycles and have experience. Many new agents have never worked in these conditions, so they don’t have that knowledge to put and keep deals together. It’s a shame, because many times there is a willing buyer and seller, and they just don’t know how to keep it together.

Putting it All Together

The key is working with people with experience and a great team. We work with lenders who have decades of experience. Sometimes all the elements of a great deal are there, and people just need help structuring it to make it work. The days of 50 buyers bidding on every property and paying cash well in excess of the asking price are over. Financed deals are back in play, and this is where experience matters most.

Always call the Ellis Team at Keller Williams Realty 239-489-4042 or visit www.LeeCountyOnline.com to search for your next home. We’ll show you hot to use this and other adnaced home negotiating techniques to work for you.

Advanced Home Negotiating Techniques

, More Florida insurance changes are on the horizon. House Bill 799 is one bill among several recently passed and going into effect. We’ll bring you up to speed on this bill.

Wind Discounts

One significant change brought about by the bill is the requirement for insurance companies to consider the impact of wind uplift prevention mitigation techniques when filing residential property insurance rate filings. This provision emphasizes the importance of implementing measures to prevent wind damage and encourages insurance companies to take these factors into account when determining insurance rates for residential properties.

Citizens Rate Increases

Another notable change pertains to the exclusion of new policies issued by Citizens Property Insurance Corporation (Citizens) after November 1, 2023, from the annual rate increase cap. This means that rate increases on these policies can now go up to 50%. However, it is important to note that this exclusion specifically applies to policies for non-primary residences and properties previously covered by companies that became insolvent.

Furthermore, the bill establishes specific requirements for securing flood insurance based on the replacement cost of the structure or unit dwelling. For properties covered by Citizens, the deadlines for obtaining flood insurance are as follows:

This table outlines the different thresholds for the replacement cost of the structure or unit dwelling and the corresponding deadlines by which flood insurance must be secured. Properties with higher replacement costs have earlier deadlines for obtaining flood insurance. Other personal lines of residential properties insured by Citizens have until January 1, 2027, to secure flood insurance.

 

More Florida Insurance Changes Effective July 1, 2023

It’s important to note that certain Citizens policy types are exempt from this requirement. Policies that do not cover wind damage and condominium unit owners are an example.

Faster Mediation

Additionally, House Bill 799 enables Citizens to enter into contracts with the Division of Administrative Hearings. This allows for the resolution of claim disputes between Citizens and policyholders through this administrative process. This provision aims to streamline the claims resolution process and ensure fair and efficient handling of disputes.

Verification

Effective October 1, 2023, insurance companies that issue wind coverage and require policyholders to have flood insurance must verify the presence of flood insurance at the time the policy is issued or renewed. Master flood policies are deemed acceptable for this purpose.

No Flood No Wind Claim

Failure to comply with the requirement of having flood insurance may result in the denial of a wind damage claim by the insurance company. To further emphasize this requirement, policyholders are now required to sign a written acknowledgement of their understanding of the need for flood insurance.

Takeaway

More Florida insurance changes that may be on the way are companies that provide wind coverage may soon require flood insurance. We have heard of companies implementing this. We will be following to see if this bears out. If it does, will they require it in zones like X that are not required to have flood insurance?

Other Bills Passed

Senate Bill 154 tackles condominiums and co-ops. AdditionallySenate Bill 1002 covers Vehicle windshields and how the repair process will work. Senate Bill 7052 brings in new oversight to insurance companies in Florida. House Bill 837 brings changes to the way lawsuits are filed aimed at bringing down the cost of insurance. House Bill 881 brings more discounts to eligible homes in Florida.

Lastly, House Bill 1185 adds consumer protection for things like solar panels, adjusters, when deductibles apply, and when an insurance company can cancel your policy.

These changes are aimed at providing consumers with more protection at less cost. Insurance has become the 800-pound gorilla in the room in Florida. Together the legislature and the governor worked at improving the situation.

You can read more about these bills at https://www.myfloridacfo.com/division/ica/propertyinsurancechanges

For your real estate questions, Always Call the Ellis Team at Keller Williams Realty 239-489-4042. Real estate is more complicated than ever. It pays to hire a seasoned agent who can guide you through the complexities and keep your deal together.

Happy 4th of July!

oday let’s talk about some creative real estate marketing strategies for homeowners you might not think of. These strategies may sound counterintuitive, but they work.

Creative Real Estate Marketing Strategies for Homeowners

 

Less is Better

I remember years ago marketing experts would say white space is your friend. Back then agents would use display ads in the paper.  Some agents would cram as many words as possible into that space trying to sell the home. The truth is the ad is more likely to be read if there is white space, or blank space. It makes the ad stand out and compels the reader to check it out.

Back in the days when Realtors used property flyers the same concept applied. The more you put on the flyer, the more likely a buyer will find one item that eliminates the home. That’s a shame, because if they ever made it inside, the home could have wowed them. Today agents use open house flyers. At least with an open house flyer, the buyer has been in the home, so we design that so they remember the home against all others they might see that day.

Fewer Better Photos

It only takes one photo to turn off a buyer. This is why we use better photos, but not necessarily more. We accentuate a few key features. In doing so, we entice a buyer to want to see more, or call and ask about something they couldn’t see online. You must remember, there are over 4,000 single family homes on the market in Lee County. Buyers do not want to see 4,000 homes. They must eliminate homes to get it down to a manageable number. Buyers are not experts. They do not know the market like a full-time Realtor even though they think they might by having access to all the listings. Instinctively they seek to narrow and eliminate. We do not want your home to be eliminated.

Creative Ad Copy

We write our ads and captions such that a buyer would want to call or click to find out more. When you just blurt out features, you look and sound like every other ad. We want your home to stand out. This is why our ads receive more calls or clicks than other agents.

Targeted Marketing. We can target buyers looking to buy homes rather than shot gun marketing to the world. Your advertising dollar doesn’t go as far you advertise to the world rather than people looking to buy right here, right now. Call us to find out how we’re able to do this.

Hidden Features

Each home has some hidden features the buyer wouldn’t know about unless they lived in the home. These are different than home features like counter tops and pools. We sell the hidden features a different way, and it helps our sellers get more money for their home with our trademarked home showing process.

Showing Process

The Ellis Team has a showing process that maximizes your home’s value and separates you from the competition. There are 7 steps to this process, and when you see the 7 steps, you’ll know why they are critical to getting your home sold faster and for more money.

Of course we have several more tips for our sellers to get top dollar, and not enough room to share them all here. We have a brochure that explains the entire system we use to sell your home. We can go over the system when we meet.  Identifying the two price depressing problems that plague most sellers and how to overcome them to achieve top dollar is critical.  Simply call Brett or Sande Ellis at 239-310-6500 or visit www.MyHomeSoldin8days.com for a short video that explains part of the program.

 

Sande and Brett look forward to hearing from you and answering your real estate questions.

Listing inventory keeps rising in SW Florida. Both single family homes and condo inventory have been rising steadily since February 2022.

Listing Inventory Keeps Rising in SW Florida

Listing Inventory Keeps Rising in SW Florida

It’s simple math. More homes are coming on the market than going off.  Supply is outpacing demand. When you sit down and really think about it, it hits you. When you read the headlines, you would think the real estate market is on fire and everything is rosy. By and large, we have a good real estate market.

Many sellers get it. Some came out with aggressive pricing to test the market, almost not believing that the market has changed from what it once was.  Then reality sets in. This past week alone 428 single family homes reduced their price. Of the 428 price reductions, 17 went pending.

Wouldn’t it be better to set a price where you know the home will sell?  You don’t have to price it below the market to do this. Pricing above the market ensures the property will sit, and when it does buyers begin to wonder why other buyers have rejected it. Overpricing a home can cost you. If listing inventory keeps rising you would want to get ahead of that.

New Pricing Method

 The problem with looking at comparable home sales is everything is in the past. Sold pricing doesn’t always give you an accurate picture of what is going on in the market today. Sure, appraisers can issue a time value adjustment when they see a changing market, but that doesn’t help home sellers as that is always calculated after the fact.

How should home sellers look at pricing their home for today’s market? There is a new market methodology that better identifies where a home should be priced. The advantage to getting the price correct upfront is you end up with a better price on the back end.

Have you ever watched a neighbor’s home go on the market? One that you know is overpriced. Back in 2021, that overpriced listing might have sold. But this isn’t 2021 anymore. Today that listing sits, and sits, collecting dust and cobwebs because nobody wants it at that price. Your neighbor needs to sell, they just haven’t come to the realization yet that they aren’t going to get their price. They feel like they need a certain price to not lose money. Possibly they need a certain amount for their next venture.

Market is Option Based

In the end, the market doesn’t care what your neighbor needs. The market only cares about what the home is worth, and how it compares to other alternatives. Buyers today are hit with higher interest rates, higher insurance costs, and higher cost of living. Their money is stretched thin, and they for darned sure don’t want to overpay for a home in today’s economy. Buyers will select their best option.

I don’t want to say buyers are adversarial towards sellers. They just don’t care about the seller’s problems because they have their own. Remember a few short years ago. Sellers didn’t care about the buyer’s circumstances or how they might become homeless a few years ago. Buyers today do not care how much a seller needs from their home sale.

This is how it should be. Buyers and sellers should focus on what the home is worth today, not what it used to be worth, or why this deal should be different than the market.

When you focus on the data, you tend to get a better outcome. The data will win the day anyway, unless the home sits on the market getting tired and worn in the buyer’s eyes. In this case, the home might eventually sell for less than it should.

Aggressive Marketing

Thinking of selling? You need a Realtor with aggressive marketing, and one with experience in a changing market. The market is still good, but for the best results use an experienced pro who’s been there before. This is why the Ellis Team at Keller Williams has been voted Best in Real Estate by News Press Readers for 10 straight years. Put our knowledge and marketing to work for you! 239-310-6500

 Good luck, and Happy Home Selling!

New FEMA risk ratings impact on future flood insurance rates is being felt, and some home buyers are astounded. We’ve been pouring through the numbers looking at the areas most impacted.

FEMA Risk Ratings Impact on Future Flood Insurance Rates

Most Impacted Zip Codes

New FEMA risk ratings impact will depend on which zip code you live in. Of the zips listed in this chart, 33901 will see most impact at an average rise of 365.58% Next in line looks to be 33921 which is in the Boca Grande area with a 361.99% rise. The third highest is 33920 which is in the Alva area coming in at 318.05%

We have a complete database of each zip code in the United States that shows the average risk rating versus the current average cost of flood insurance.

This does not mean that every policy in the zip code will cost the amount stated. This is an average for the entire zip code. It does, however, give us an across-the-board estimate of how much some policies will rise.  What we fear is that some policies in a zip may be more extreme than others. The extreme policies might be the policies raising the average versus an across-the-board rise.

33919 will rise on average 259.63% and 33907 will rise an average of 235.68%  Zip 33908 which saw heavy flooding will go up 270.10%

Don’t Give Up That Policy

If you have an existing NFIP policy it can only go up 18% per year, so it would take 15 plus years or so to reach some of these levels. If you did not have flood insurance, you cannot go back and get it at the grandfathered rates.

We also tell people when shopping around to be careful about selecting private flood insurance. When you give up the national policy, you give up that protected rate. The danger is a private policy might not renew your policy any given year. Or zones could be reclassified. You might be in flood zone X today and not be required to get flood insurance. Future maps could change that, and you might be required.

If you are required to purchase flood insurance for your mortgage when you previously didn’t have to, you do not get the old rate. Worse yet, you also lose the 18% protection. New policy holders who do not renew or assume an existing policy pay the 100% full rate for the property. We do not see a way around this.

We are not insurance agents, so we cannot give insurance advice. As consumers, we are watching what is happening. As real estate professionals, we always ask home sellers if they have current flood insurance and a copy of the policy. Having an affordable policy that can be assumed can increase their property value compared to a neighbor who has nothing to offer.

Cost Versus Benefit

Many buyers have begun to shy away from high insurance properties unless they can absolutely afford it and are willing to pay the price for paradise.

Any time you add a high cost to something over and above the purchase price, buyers must decide if the amenity is worth it. For instance, some golf communities have high fees, but they offer golf. Other communities offer a marina, etc. The amenity benefit has to exceed the cost in the buyer’s mind. While flood insurance isn’t exactly an amenity, it is a cost associated with living in a particular area and will be evaluated on a cost-reward basis by buyers.

Have Questions?

If you are thinking of selling your SW Florida home, always call Sande or Brett Ellis at 239-310-6500. We can walk you through all the intricacies of a home sale, because we know what to look for upfront.

Many agents list a property without studying all the factors only to be surprised by a cancelled sale later. There is nothing more discouraging than thinking your home is sold only to find out the buyer is backing out over something that could have been known upfront. Flood insurance is one of many factors.

Good luck, and happy home selling. For questions, give us a call.

Single family home inventory in Lee County is rising. This past week we crossed 4,000 single family homes, and number we haven’t seen since May of 2020.

Single Family Home Inventory Rising

We expect there to be several expired listings at the end of May which will bring current single family home inventory down.  This has happened each month in 2023. Inevitably inventory rose as more listings came on the market than expired. Perhaps many of the expired listings relisted as well. Each day we are watching new listings exceed pending sales, so we know inventory should keep rising.

Is 2020 the New 2023?

In past articles we’ve mentioned that closed home sales are mirroring 2020. If there is a correlation between the number of closed home sales and the 2020 single family home inventory counts, it could be a clue as to where inventory will head. Back in 2020 we had about 5,500 homes on the market, which was less than the 2019 highs of 7,195. The market was getting good in 2020 as was the economy, just before Covid hit.

Inventory levels took a hit as few wanted to sell during Covid, and builders had a hard time keeping up with demand. Interest rates were low. Now that Covid is in the rear-view mirror mostly, and so are low interest rates, we are returning to normal levels of inventory.

Why is SW Florida Different?

Nationwide there is a shortage of homes on the market because many people with low rates on their home do not want to sell and buy another at a higher rate. Why is the SW Florida market gaining inventory when the rest of the country seems to be losing inventory?

Perhaps it’s the hurricane.  Some people are done with storms and rising insurance costs. It could be that less workers are moving to Florida as employers call them back to work.  This doesn’t make sense because people are still moving to Florida in droves. The last report I saw was that 958 people move to Florida every day. In fact, Florida is the #1 net migration state. More people are moving to Florida than leaving versus any other state in America.

I noticed SW Florida International Airport saw a 23% drop in traffic in March. This makes sense because our beaches were barely open, and we lost so much tourism. There simply weren’t the homes, condos, and hotels to rent in many places like Sanibel Island and Fort Myers Beach. Many Airbnb’s have been damaged as well.

Single Family Home Inventory Rising

This doesn’t exactly explain why inventory is growing in SW Florida while it appears to be dwindling in other areas. SW Florida single family home inventory has almost quadrupled since February 15, 2022. Back then it was 1,071 homes on the market versus almost 4,000 now.

Over the summer we are going to track listing inventory against closed sales to see if 2020 numbers are the standard our market should be judged by, or if this is a blip. Markets rarely stay the same for long, and this could just be a coincidence until our market decides what it wants to do.

2020 wasn’t a bad year before Covid hit. Prices were rising slightly, and inventory was coming down from 2019 levels.

2nd Half of 2023

Some say the Fed will raise rates again in June, while others are convinced they are done. Many predict mortgage rates may come down by the end of the year. We believe a lot will be decided in the next two months. By then we may have a better handle on how the second half of 2023 will go for the economy and the housing market.

If you have a home to sell, Always Call the Ellis Team at Keller Williams Realty 239-310-6500. We have the best stats and can advise you as to how the market is doing long before others figure it out.

Good luck and Happy Selling!

Why sell the traditional way when you could sell your home for thousands more? That is the question many home sellers are asking.

Why Sell The Traditional Way

Most Realtors use passive marketing.  They list a home, put a sign up, place it in MLS, and wait for people to respond. A few will even take out ads, but they are not targeted.  It is a lot like placing bait in the water and waiting to see if a fish comes along and bites. The worst thing is, they’re not 100% sure the fish are even there, or if they’re biting today.

Breakthrough Technology

 The Ellis Team has a system to identify and target almost all the potential buyers for your home within 3-4 days. By doing so, the home doesn’t have to sit on the market week after week while buyers begin to wonder what is wrong with the home. Buyers know that other buyers have seen the home and rejected it, so something must be wrong.

Our system eliminates the two price depressing problems facing sellers today. As inventory grows and homes linger on the market, this strategy becomes more important.

Studies have shown that this new program sells homes from 8.4 to 12% higher than the MLS median price, as confirmed by 6 independent studies.

How Does it Work?

So how does the program work?  Essentially everything you thought you knew about selling is thrown out the window. There is a reason big companies like Apple sell out new products instantly. It is because they understand how consumers think, and they bring products to market accordingly. Their products are not designed to sit on store shelves for months hoping a consumer will come along and choose to buy it.

The Ellis Team has been selling homes this new way for a while, and the results have been amazing. Sure, our team did very well selling homes the traditional way because we out worked, out marketed, and hustled our way to the top. We didn’t consider ourselves traditional because our results stood for themselves, and we did things nobody else did.

Why Sell The Traditional Way When There is a Better Way?

When we looked at this new system, we realized there were some things we could do to improve, and if we did that, our sellers would benefit even more. Since implementing the system our sellers have sold even faster and for more money. The system works.

Not only does the system sell homes for more money, but it also saves money later in the inspection process. Buyers are glad they were able to get a nice home and the sellers are happy that they didn’t leave money on the table. And everyone is happy because the process goes fast.

Real World Example

Earlier this year we had a seller who bought another home out of state. They had 30 days to sell their home to come up with the down payment and financing to complete that other sale. Their out of state agent referred them to us and said I know this is almost impossible, but they just bought a home, and they need their sold fast. Can you help?

I said no problem, our system is designed to sell homes fast and for top dollar. We priced the home higher than the comparables and we sold it for cash quickly. It closed on time and the sellers had days to spare in their new home. Our system identified multiple qualified and motivated buyers for their home. The other Realtor was truly amazed as well.

Fishing

Wouldn’t it be easier to fish if you knew exactly where the fish were, at what depth to place the bait, and what time of day they would be hungry? Of course it would. This new breakthrough technology and home selling system helps with all of this, and the results are amazing.

If you have a home to sell, call Brett or Sande Ellis at 239-310-6500 or visit My Home Sold in 8 Days and we’ll be glad to meet with you and help you with your situation. We love helping people and seeing the smile on their faces when we pleasantly surprise them with results.

Happy Memorial Day Weekend!

News housing price research complied by the Ellis Team at Keller Williams suggests changes in the local real estate market.

New Housing Price Research

We have been predicting for many months that in May we will see year over year price declines in the Lee County housing market. This does not mean that prices are declining now, only that the media will first pick up on the fact that prices have come down from last year. The price declines already occurred in 2022, and then a funny thing happened.

Home Prices Stabilized

 Home prices in Lee County have leveled off in 2023. In January the average price was $581,598. Today the unofficial number is $583,567. The median price in January was $420,000. Today the unofficial median price is $438,000. While prices dropped in 2022, it looks like they’ve stabilized in 2023.

Keep in mind we’ve just come through the seasonal months in SW Florida where the higher priced homes tend to sell, so we could still see further drops in prices going forward. Inventory is still rising, and demand has softened slightly from 2022. We have been tracking closed sales more in line with 2020, and we believe there will be a spike in official closed sales for April when numbers are released next week.

Nobody can predict exactly where the market is headed. What we can say is it looks like the market is stable. There are many factors pulling the market in different directions, and which factors win out will be fascinating to watch.

Debt Watch

 Household debt has reached record levels. Credit card debt is now $2.9 trillion higher than it was pre-covid. Mortgage debt has soared to 12.04 trillion. Student loan debt and automobile debt is also up. Americans have borrowed to keep this economy floating, but there are limits.

As I write this article, the federal debt is in limbo also. Leaders have still not worked out an agreement on raising the federal borrowing limit, and the first US default on its debt is a possibility. We expect mortgage rates will soar as we get closer to a default deadline.

The real question is, would loans be funded at all? When a real estate closing takes place with a loan involved, the lender sends the money to the title company, and everybody walks away happy. The lender typically bundles that loan and sells it on the secondary market with the help of FNMA or Freddie Mac. Loans are easily bundled because the loan was underwritten to their guidelines for the purpose of bundling and selling. But what if that secondary market is uncertain? What if they don’t want to honor rate locks before a US default?  How many buyers would no longer qualify?

The other thing we don’t know is what would happen to FHA and VA loans? If the US defaults, what would happen to retirement accounts? The stock market could implode, and with that many people’s wealth.

The mind can go a thousand directions thinking of the possibilities. We prefer not to do that. We will deal with whatever comes if and when it comes. A default on debt could be catastrophic to our way of life. The dollar may no longer be recognized as the world’s currency of choice. Interest rates might rise if the dollar is replaced.

Good News

 The good news is Florida is still desirable. Whatever happens in other cities and states, Florida is still the #1 place people want to relocate to. As northern states react to budget deficits and higher taxes, Florida looks safer all the time. Predicting which economic forces will win the day is impossible. Just pray for the leaders to work out a deal on the debt and be grateful we live in a state people are attracted to.

If you have real estate questions, call Sande or Brett Ellis about this new housing price research at 239-310-6500.  Good luck, and Happy Selling!