Category Archives: Southwest Florida Real Estate

Market updates and news and information about the SW Florida real estate market

Florida Insurance Reform Changes for 2nd Time in 2022

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We have updated Florida insurance reform changes information you need to know.  For the second time this year Governor Ron DeSantis called a special session of the legislature to deal with an insurance crisis in Florida.

Florida Insurance Reform Changes

The insurance crisis was so bad insurance companies were pulling out and leaving the state. Many condominium associations were finding a hard time obtaining any insurance at all, and when they did find it, the cost was prohibitive. Homeowners, perhaps to a lesser extent were also frustrated. Of course, Hurricanes Ian and Nicole weren’t going to help. The real estate industry has been impacted greatly.

In December the legislature approved, and Governor DeSantis signed into law SB 2-A. The previous 2022 bill is SB 2-D. Here is a recap of the Florida insurance reform changes made in 2022.

SB 2-A Signed December 2022

 The newer SB 2-A eliminates one-way attorney fees which were meant to shield policyholders from legal bills when they needed to sue an insurer. Many argued that because one-way attorney fees were permitted it led to frivolous lawsuits. Eliminating excessive and predatory lawsuits should help lower costs in the long run.

The Office of Insurance Regulation was beefed up such that they will be able to assess property insurers performance after a hurricane to hold them accountable and prevent abuses. You can’t take away power from the people without adding protections from abuse.

Insurer timelines were reduced to payout money and into the hands of policyholders quicker after an event. The state also provided additional funding for temporary reinsurance which should further stabilize the insurance market.

SB 2-D Signed May 2022

Roofs

Insurance companies can no longer refuse to issue or renew homeowners’ insurance for roofs less than 15 years old based solely on the age of the roof. If a roof is 15 years old or more the homeowner has the right to hire an approved inspector, and if the inspector states the roof has 5 years or more remaining life the insurance company may not refuse.

Claims

 The homeowner has the right to see the detailed report/estimate by the adjuster. This report must be furnished within 7 days of the request, or completion of the report, whichever occurs later. We have heard instances of insurance companies changing adjusters reports to minimize payouts. This provision will provide the insured with additional rights and information to challenge. If there is a difference between the estimate and the payout, insurers must provide a reasonable explanation of the claim decision.

Insurers must also physically inspect the property within 45 days of receiving a proof of loss statement from the insured, although it does not apply to hurricane claims.

Other Provisions

 There were many other provisions in SB 2-D, like inspections on condos that are 3 stories or higher and 25-30 years old or more depending on their location. Provisions were added regarding repair or replacement of roofs and whether they need to meet new building codes.

Summary

 The main takeaway is these new changes should make insurance more affordable in Florida. We may not see price reductions immediately, but it should entice insurers to come back to Florida and increase competition. Hopefully the insurance companies and attorneys will be on a more level playing field and consumers will win in the end

If you have a property to sell, call the Ellis Team at Keller Williams Realty 239-310-6500 voted Best in Real Estate 9 consecutive years by News Press Readers in SW Florida.

To find out the value of your home instantly, check out the best home valuation tool around www.SWFLhomevalues.com

New Way to Sell Homes Coming

In the next 2 weeks we will unveil a new program to sell your home in SW Florida. It’s pretty incredible. Give us a call to get on the list. You’ll want to hear about this.

Happy Holidays!

FNMA Predicts Price Declines in 2023 and 2024

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FNMA predicts price declines in the housing market nationwide for the next two years. In the first quarter of 2023 they predict year over year appreciation at 3.3%, but all this appreciation has already occurred in 2022.  Home prices have been dropping nationwide and the stats won’t show year over year declines until the 2nd quarter.

Starting in the 2nd quarter of 2023 FNMA predicts declines of 1.3%, followed by declines of 1.4% and 1.5% in the 3rd and 4th quarters. Going into 2024 they are predicting declines of 1.4% in the 1st quarter, 1.5% in the 2nd quarter, and declines of 1.4% in the 3rd and 4th quarters.

Have Home Values Peaked?

If FNMA is correct, what does all this tell us? Home prices have already peaked, and interest rates and the economy are influencing home prices. They are not predicting major price swings, so buyers can rest assured if they find a home, they love at an interest rate they can afford, they should buy.

FNMA Predicts Price Declines

For sellers, it is a slightly different story. Your home probably already peaked in value back in May. We study the local median and average home prices, and they are split as to when home prices peaked. One says May, the other says June. Since then, we have watched home prices fall locally and nationwide.

As Realtors we do not advocate for prices to rise or fall. The market is what it is, and a trusted Realtor should properly interpret the market and the data and explain what is going on. A good Realtor is your economist of choice if they study the numbers. Over the years the Ellis Team has been able to get our listed sellers out in a declining market because we know how to market a home in a shifting market.

Experience Counts

85% of Realtors today have never worked in a shifted market. They only know one thing, and it’s up. How you price, market, and find buyers changes in a shifting market.

Our Current Market Index stands as high today as it has all year. While the numbers are not alarming, it is not a good sign as our index accurately predicts the market going forward. We have also noticed the differential between active listings and total pending listings is as high as it’s been all year. Another sign that the market has cooled.

The 2021 market is not coming back. We are back to a normalized market subject to market conditions and changing economic numbers. Builders are reducing prices and offering incentives. It is not a horrible time to sell. It might seem horrible compared to previous years. Sellers no longer have the upper hand. The good news for sellers is, neither do buyers. We have a more balanced market than we have seen in years, and that’s not a bad thing.

It Pays to Know the Data

If you’re playing a sport or a board game, it pays to know the rules. If you are buying or selling in the real estate market, it pays to study the data. Knowing what is going on in the street is invaluable. Always ask a Realtor to prove to you what the market is doing. So many Realtors give advice based upon how their personal month is going. A Realtor can have one good month and think the market is great followed by a horrible month the next. This doesn’t mean the market changed drastically, simply that their sales did.

Too many Realtors judge the market by how they are feeling in the market and how their sales are going. True professionals study the market and can explain to you what you need to know to make the best decision. A Realtor’s value is never greater than in a shifting market. Choosing the wrong Realtor can cost you thousands, even when you think you are saving.

Good luck, and Happy Selling! If you are thinking of selling, call Brett Ellis or Sande Ellis 239-310-6500 or visit www.SWFLhomevalues.com

December SW Florida Real Estate Market Update

Toys for Tots

The Ellis Team is a drop-off location for Toys for Tots. Please help us provide a Happy Holiday Season by dropping off toys to our office by December 15th.

Toys for Tots Ellis Team Drop-off

Listing Inventory Resumes Rising Trend For Third Consecutive Week

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Single family home and condo listing inventory resumes rising trend for third consecutive week. Single family home inventory rose for the third consecutive week while condo inventory rose four consecutive weeks.

Listing Inventory Resumes Rising Trend For Third Consecutive Week

Pending sales have moderated a bit too, leveling out the past two weeks. One of the things we look at is the difference between listing inventory and total pendings. That difference just reached the highest level all year. Basically this means more properties are coming to the market then jumping off.

This is a trend we saw prior to Hurricane Ian. When Hurricane Ian hit, there was a temporary lull which caused that differential to drop. Since November 9th that differential has begun to resume that upward trend.

Forget Button

Hurricane Ian caused many in SW Florida to hit the Forget Button. They forgot what was happening in the market prior to Ian. Our lives were turned so upside down that economics and reality didn’t matter, if only temporarily. We were in survival mode and everyone did what they had to do to find housing, work, food, water, etc. Now things are settling back down for most and returning to normal, even if it is a new normal.

I don’t like the new normal, but nature didn’t ask my opinion. I don’t like that we don’t have a beach to go to, or the fact so many cannot live in their home after the storm. So many people don’t have their same job because the business isn’t open or doesn’t exist.  Nobody asked for the new normal, and yet to survive we must deal with it.

Rising interest rates caused home buying activity to slow nationwide, and here locally. One of the reasons prices were able to rise like they did the past several years was because of low borrowing costs, but those days are over.  Home prices haven’t statistically fallen much, but it has affected home closings which are down significantly.

Inventory Levels Affect Future Pricing

One of the reasons we track inventory levels is because eventually that could affect home prices. Right now many home sellers can be choosy. Many don’t have to sell, so they don’t. Eventually more and more homeowners must sell for various reasons.  If supply continues to build, it could affect home prices going forward.

The Fed is still tightening short term interest rates. Economic data is due out this week after this article is written which could affect long term interest rates. Recently 30-year mortgage rates have fallen back to about 6.58%, down from over 7%. This has helped some real estate deals. We will keep our eye on rates going forward. Any help we can get on interest rates can directly impact the market.

30 year mortgage rates are pegged on the 10 Year treasury note which declined in recent weeks because many thought the Fed would be less aggressive going forward. We believe the Fed will talk tough this week, and the markets will react. The tougher the Fed talks, the quicker we can get to peak rates and eventually lower rates. The Fed has been slow and behind the curve. They must raise unemployment and slow housing to curb inflation. Both are moving, just not quickly enough to move the needle.

Home Prices

Home prices have remained amazingly steady locally. They don’t seem to be rising or falling, although we are seeing price reductions. This is a sign that sellers do not rule the roost anymore and it is heading towards a balanced market. Going forward we will be watching interest rates, inventory levels, and of course our Current Market Index which we share with Ellis Team sellers.

Home to Sell

If you have a home to sell, Always Call the Ellis Team at Keller Williams Realty 239-310-6500 We’d love to sit down with you and discuss your options. We have more inside information we can share. Good luck, and Happy Selling!

Selling Hurricane Damaged Homes As-Is

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The Ellis Team has been selling hurricane damaged homes as-is in some cases. Many homeowners don’t realize they have this option.  Sellers have several options if their home was damaged.

Selling Hurricane Damaged Homes As-Is

Selling Hurricane Damaged Homes As-Is

Some sellers just don’t have it in them financially or emotionally to go through the entire repair and insurance process. Fort these types of sellers, there are a few options. The homeowner can sell and keep the insurance proceeds or transfer the insurance proceeds to a new buyer. If the seller has a mortgage, and there is enough in the sale to satisfy the mortgage, this becomes an option. For owners who own their home outright, it isn’t an issue.

A seller may sell for more if they can transfer the insurance claim to the buyer, but not in all cases.  We recently sold a hurricane damaged home whereby the seller retained all hurricane claims, both flood and homeowners, and the new buyer accepted the home in its as-is condition.

Obviously a new buyer is going to look at the home and determine how much they think it is going to cost to fix it up. Is the home subject to the 50% Rule? They will probably want some sweat equity for doing all the work and taking on the risk. Additionally, this new buyer may not be able to get insurance on the home. The new buyer could get a builder’s risk policy if the home previously had insurance, even if the seller is keeping the claim money. Additional 50% Rule article.

In other cases, no insurance will be available to the new buyer until the home is repaired and inspected. We do have insurance companies writing policies again for repaired homes.

Pricing

How do you know how much you should ask for your home as a seller? It helps to know the pre-hurricane value of your home. Then, we calculate the repair costs to bring the home back. If the home is subject to the 50% rule, the costs would need to be calculated as brought back to it’s original pre-hurricane condition. Once we know or estimate the cost to repair, a calculation can be made as to what a reasonable person might pay for a damaged home assuming all the risks and work.

To get an estimated value of your home pre-hurricane, visit www.SWFLhomevalues.com Do so right away because new sales might start influencing the post-hurricane values. Or better yet, call us at 239-310-6500 and let us help you evaluate your options. We may even know some contractors who can help with some of the work.

Heavy Damage

What if your home is missing, or heavily damaged beyond the 50% and you don’t wish to rebuild? We may be able to sell for the land value and net you more money than rebuilding. Some homeowners didn’t have flood insurance because it was so expensive. In other cases, the flood insurance payment won’t make a dent in what it would cost to rebuild. The point is, you have options, and we can help you determine which is best for you financially and emotionally.

Brett and Sande ask a lot of questions. Many times, it’s not about what we would do. It’s about what is best for you. Is there money to do the repairs? Is your heart in it? How long are you willing to fight the insurance company? We’ve had a few sellers choose an option we would not have chosen, but it is their house and their decision. We absolutely respect and support those decisions. Therefore, we present all options. We feel the best decision is an informed decision based upon your needs.

Your Partner

We are your partner in the home selling process.  We may not know all the obstacles that will come our way during the transaction, but rest assured we will be there with you to help navigate those obstacles should they occur.

Always call the Ellis Team at Keller Williams Realty. We are your partner in success!

50% Rule Modifications Benefit Lee County Homeowners

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New 50% rule modifications benefit Lee County Homeowners by changing the way damage repair is calculated.

50% Rule Modifications Benefit Lee County

In the past, if a property suffered more than 50% of the home’s improved value in total damage the homeowner would be required to rebuild the structure to today’s codes, including new flood and height requirements. This could cause a total rebuild and would be very costly, exceeding flood insurance coverage if the homeowner had any.

New 50% Rule Modifications Benefit Lee County Homeowners

By adopting a Permit-to-Permit mode, each permit must stay within the 50% rule.  So, let’s say a home suffered severe damage and needed several permits to repair the home.  All told, the permits together total well in excess of the 50% of the improved value of the home. By breaking out each permit, the homeowner can file for one permit, complete the work, then close it out.

Each subsequent permit only needs to be within the 50% of the total value, and so on.  The only drawback is you may be forced to do some work, close the permit, and wait for the next portion of the project. This may slow down the project, however the benefit is the home is rebuildable without having to change codes. Sure, the new roof may need to meet new codes, but the elevation and building height could stay the same.

This is a game changer for many residents. So far, this only applies to unincorporated Lee County. If you live in a city like Cape Coral or Fort Myers, you may need to wait and see if they adopt similar language. We find it hard to believe they wouldn’t, but it is the government, so you never know.

FEMA Controls the Flood Insurance Discount

I’m sure FEMA won’t be completely happy, but each entity oversees implementing their own floodplain plan under FEMA. Fort Myers Beach isn’t taking the same approach, and this video explains why.

This past week we have attended two insurance seminars, so we have learned a great deal about insurance after Ian. Of course, insurance is changing weekly. It’s not that the Ellis Team is smarter than other agents about things like insurance, it’s that we talk to more people, so our learning curve is faster. Having connections is valuable, especially after a disaster like Ian.

Having the reputation and clout to get top people on the phone when you call is valuable. We can offer ways to sell a property when others say it cannot be done. There are options to get insurance even when there is an existing claim, and it is challenging.

Here to Help

Our team is here to help. If you’d like to buy or sell, there may be a way.  We are experts at listening to your situation and helping find resources to accomplish your goals. There are some people that are unrealistic with what they are trying to do, and that’s OK. We listen and help where we can. In some cases, the goal is unrealistic today, and then something changes, like the new 50% rule implementation.

Insurance carriers are opening back up, and so are the options. A seller’s ability to get Top Dollar or sell the property at all will be determined by who they hire to sell their home. The same with a buyer. A buyer’s ability to purchase a home will be determined by the agent they choose to work with.

We have a way of searching MLS and finding damaged home or undamaged homes. Knowing inside tips on searching MLS along with keeping up on insurance and building permits enables us to better serve our clients. We don’t know everything, but we are willing to get in there and talk to people and help figure stuff out.

Always call the Ellis team at Keller Williams Realty 239-489-4042 or visit www.SWFLhomevalues.com to get your home’s value instantly, or www.LeeCountyOnline.com to search the MLS.

Good luck and Happy House Hunting!

Coming Soon Listings Opportunities

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Since Hurricane Ian the Ellis Team has generated lots of listing calls that have created coming soon listings opportunities. The issue however is many of these homes are not easily sellable due to insurance claims, hurricane damage, or other reasons.

Coming Soon Listings Opportunities

 

Coming Soon Listings Opportunities and MLS Clear Cooperation Policy

MLS rules state that when a property is marketed publicly the property must be submitted to the MLS within 1 business day for cooperation with other MLS participants.  The thinking here is that it is in the seller’s best interest to gather as much exposure as possible for the sale. Some Realtors in the past would hold back listings and attempt to sell the property themselves and keep both ends of the commission. In the business we call this double-dipping.

What if the property is not ready for sale? What if the seller does not want their property listed in MLS? There are provisions for that. Most people do not realize that when a Realtor takes a listing and advertises it publicly on social media, newspaper, or other forms the property must be able to show within a reasonable amount of time.  If a property cannot be shown, a Realtor is supposed to mark the listing withdrawn.  The listing can be returned to active status once the property is available to be shown again. There are some new exceptions to this rule after the hurricane, but that is the gist of the rule.

Brokers Can Contact Their Database

Brokers can contact their database of buyers regarding coming soon listings opportunities without marketing a property publicly. In doing so the Clear Cooperation Rule is not invoked. Once a broker advertises or posts a specific property in an online post, newspaper ad, blog article, or anywhere else meant for the public it is considered public advertising and should be in the MLS. However, we have several sellers that would like to sell but do not want their homes listed publicly.

Some have hurricane claims in and are leaving the state once the home is sellable. They do not want their employer to know they will be leaving at some future unknown date. They would sell their home today though under the right circumstances.

Others are going through a divorce, while still others have health or family issues. There are many reasons why a seller wouldn’t want the public knowing about their sale today. Down the road, maybe, but not today.

Hidden Inventory Buyer Database

The Ellis Team is creating a hidden inventory buyer database for just these types of cases. We can reach out when a potential seller matches a buyer’s needs. These types of listings will not be marketed to the public yet because the seller doesn’t want it marketed, or the home is simply not ready. You will never see us publicly market a property in violation of the Clear Cooperation Policy as we believe in its goal. We do however have several opportunities where we can reach out to our private database and help both parties.

For instance, a seller may agree to a showing to a buyer if the public doesn’t find out. If the buyer doesn’t purchase it, the employer or neighbors are not tipped off the seller was even contemplating a sale.

Some sellers don’t want to go through the hassle of getting their home ready and showing dozens of times, especially if there is damage or extenuating circumstances that may make sale precarious. Therefore, they ask us if we have buyers that might be interested without going through the process.

The truth is we receive lots of calls and emails from buyers looking for off market properties. We have never created a database just for these types of buyers. Today that changes. Whatever your motivation, we are creating a private opportunity database.

Signup to be Notified

Go to www.topagent.com to fill out an easy form. Tell us your name, phone number, and email address along with your preferences. We will contact you when we have off-market opportunities we believe might work for your situation.

Good luck and Happy House Hunting!

Sellable Listings in MLS Versus Total Listings

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Are all homes sellable listings in MLS? Technically, the answer is yes. Even hurricane damaged homes can be bought and sold. Practically speaking, many damaged homes will require significant hurdles and obstacles to overcome before they can be sold, unless the buyer is willing to give up several things.

Sellable Listings in MLS

Insurance

Many insurers refuse to write new coverage without a statement of no loss, a statement of condition, and a new post-hurricane 4-point inspection with photos. Homeowner’s carriers are only writing new policies in flood zones X, B, or C. They are not writing in Flood zones A, AE, AH, or V. You might ask the question, why are homeowners not writing in certain flood zones? Flood and Homeowners insurance are two separate things. The reality is, while they are separate, disputes arise whether water damage was caused by rising water or falling rain caused by wind damage, so they must be steering clear until that is sorted out.

Citizens Insurance may write new policies with damage with exclusions, but so far insurance agents aren’t willing to write those policies.

Currently nobody is writing new flood policies, but there is a way around this. Experienced agents know how to get around this.

Sellable Listings in MLS

Our team knows where the sellable listings in MLS are. It is difficult for the average consumer to know which homes they can buy. In the confidential remarks section of MLS agents must list if the property has damage and if there are open claims. This information does not show up on Zillow or Realtor.com, or any other portals. It takes a lot of time and investigation researching which homes have damage, and which flood zones they are located in.

New Construction

We also have access to new construction homes that are not in MLS yet. This data changes daily. Being a Top Team in Lee County puts us in a direct pipeline with the largest builders. Builders like working with large teams because they know we have experience in getting results after a hurricane and our clients are well informed. They also know we have a large database, so it is cheaper for them to pay us a commission and get deals done than try to market to 100% of their sales. Builders don’t have enough money to market to the entire market. The price a buyer pays is the same whether they use a Realtor or not, so they might as well use an experienced one with some clout.

Interest Rates

Interest rates are headed higher. Buying a home now secures today’s lower rates. When rates eventually come down later, a buyer can refinance. This way you lock in today’s lower rates and have the opportunity to get even lower in the future. It also takes away the uncertainty in the rental market. Landlords are raising rents because they can. The tenant has no control. Or, the landlord may sell the property, leaving the tenant without a renewable lease. Buying gives the tenant control over the cost of their housing.

Buyer Consultation

The process all starts with a buyer consultation. We ask you what your needs are. We can then tailor properties that will meet your needs and are sellable. No sense wasting good inspection money on a property you’ll never be able to finance of get insurance for. Our team listens to your needs. We are not here to sell you anything. Perhaps that is why the Ellis Team at Keller Williams Realty has been voted Best in Real Estate by News Press readers 9 years in a row.

Always call the Ellis Team 239-489-4042 or visit www.LeeCountyOnline.com to search online for your next home. If you find something you like, we can talk about if it’s sellable and right for your situation.

Good luck, and Happy House Hunting! Always work with a professional. It matters now more than ever!

 

 

Home Prices Fall Locally in 2nd Half 2022

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Home prices fall locally as rising interest rates and back to work states takes toll on the housing market. The Fed began raising interest rates in earnest in 2022 and the chilling effect on real estate prices was noticed almost immediately.

Home Prices Fall Locally in 2nd Half of 2022

Home prices are right back to where they began in January, around $414,000 for the median price. The average price is a different story as prices went backwards by about $40,000. Headlines show price gains year over year between 12 and 16%, but that was based on last September and not January. We have mentioned in previous articles that later in the year you will see those price gains come down or go away.

Post Hurricane Ian Home Prices

Hurricane Ian may not help prices either, but not because what you would think. Many of our more expensive homes in SW Florida are closer to the coast. We know many coastal homes flooded, so less will sell. This may help bring down the median and average sales prices for a while. It does not necessarily mean home prices are declining, just that the more expensive homes are not closing.

On the other hand, we could argue home prices were already coming down prior to Ian.  So maybe that will continue?  We analyzed home sales after Hurricanes Charley and Irma in a previous article. In both those cases, prices came down after the storm. With Irma, that price decline continued the next year. In Charley’s case, prices went up, but so did the red-hot housing market everywhere.

Our conclusion was that neither Charley nor Irma stood in the way of what was already happening in the market. It’s as if the hurricane had no effect.  If that holds true with Ian, it will be interesting to see where our market heads going into 2023.

Rising Interest Rates

We expect interest rates to rise further as the Fed battles inflation. Forecasts expect rates to level off mid-2023, but then again, they’ve been wrong for all of 2022. The bottom line is nobody knows what the economy, inflation, nor what the Fed will do until it happens.

We are telling people housing is tight in SW Florida, and Ian did nothing to help that situation. If you’d like to search the MLS and see up to the minute listings, search www.LeeCountyOnline.com. Nobody gets data to you faster. Speed wins finding the best listings in this market.

You need a professional to guide you in this market.  Some listings have damage and insurance claims. Each day we are learning more and more about claims, the 50% rule, and how past home improvements might affect the 50% rule. Navigating listings has never been more challenging, and most of the relevant information is contained in the confidential remarks section only agents have access to.

It might be a good idea to get a baseline of what your home was worth pre-hurricane at www.SWFLhomevalues.com and compare that each month after the storm. I would do so quickly before the new values come out.

If you have questions, feel free to call Sande or Brett Ellis 239-310-6500. Experience matters after a storm like Ian. Navigating the home sale and insurance process has never been more complicated than today.  85% of agents have never worked after a hurricane, so you don’t want them practicing on your transaction.

We’re here to help. Hopefully you and your family are safe. We know the heartache this storm has caused. It is heart breaking for sure. Our mission is to use our experience to help where we can.  Good luck, and God Bless from all of us at the Ellis Team at Keller Williams Realty.

Mortgage Rates Expected to Rise in 4th Quarter

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Current 30-year interest rates stand slightly over 7%, with mortgage rates expected to rise in the 4th quarter perhaps another one percent. Buyers have sticker shock simply because they’d gotten used to 3% rates for such a long time.

Mortgage Rates Expected to Rise in 4th Quarter

Mortgage Rates Expected to Rise Further

Rates have doubled this year. Many buyers want to wait until rates come down because they do not like the new rates. However, this strategy may cost home buyers as rates are expected to rise in the 4th quarter and into 2023.

Some people believe the Fed isn’t as serious as they say and will stop raising rates. The Fed has stated their target for the rest of 2022 is to raise about 1.25% more. This was before the September inflation data came out that was higher than expected.

We understand why people believe the Fed may pause raising rates. Raising rates will cause a deeper recession, and there is no guarantee it is going to work. The alternative is to do nothing, and high inflation is worse for the economy and Americans in general.

The Fed is fighting inflation and a government that keeps spending. If you pump money into the economy, you guarantee inflation. The Fed would prefer we slow down government spending so they wouldn’t have to raise rates so much. We have a $31 Trillion dollar debt, and rising rates affects the interest payments on that debt. This is not a good position.

Stock Pickers

We believe the Fed will raise rates 75 basis points in November. The stock market may do well until we get closer to the Fed meeting. The 10-year note is currently just under 4% but may start to rise as we get closer to the Fed meeting in November. This is a scenario we’ve seen play out each meeting this year. If you are a stock picker, betting on the market prior to a Fed meeting has been good as long as you sold off a week or two before the next meeting.

Home Buyers

If you are a home buyer, buying sooner rather than later may be in your best interest. A 1% rise in interest rates steals about 11% purchasing power from a buyer. Home inventory is already low and getting lower after Ian.

Rent Vs Buy

We are hearing stories of rents for single family homes exceeding $5,000/mo. Some go as high as $7-10k per month.  That’s basically $60,000-$120,000 for rent for one year. While interest rates might seem high, the cost of rent is crazy right now. Today is one of those days where it is better to purchase versus rent. After a storm, people need quick housing. They immediately turned to rentals, but as that inventory dries up it may force people to purchase.

FEMA housing can’t get here soon enough. It should have been here by now, but it isn’t in any quantity. The battle is going to be getting damaged homes fixed up and ready to sell to meet demand.

Home Sellers

We are working with several home sellers to bring their home to market. Some have damage and some are fairly free from damage. Pricing is determined by how much flood restoration will be needed and/or wind damage. If you are considering selling, now would be a good time to call us 239-310-6500

Our market conditions are changing as inventory changes. Fairly soon interest rates may change too. Buyers and sellers who act sooner may have best success. We took a punch from Hurricane Ian, but it doesn’t have to keep us down. You have options.

Always Call the Ellis Team at Keller Williams Realty to discuss your options. The Ellis Team was voted the Best Team in Real Estate by News Press readers for the 9th consecutive year. Let us help you figure out the best way forward after Ian.

Best of Fort Myers 2022

Hurricane Ian Information

Hurricane Ian Real Estate Information Update

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We’re getting a lot of questions from homeowners who don’t know where to turn. Some want to sell but their home has sustained wind or flood damage. Today we like to provide a valuable Hurricane Ian real estate information update to answer some questions.

Hurricane Ian Real Estate Information Update

Insurers are reticent to issue new insurance without an affidavit that the home is free of hurricane related damage. What if the home has wind or flooding damage? Can the home be sold and financed?

Owner Wants to Sell

You may be able to buy a property with damage. Citizens Property Insurance will write coverage on damaged properties as temporary insurance and will simply exclude the damaged items. FHA has a loan called the FHA 203K that will allow a buyer to make repairs after they purchase. In this case we may be able to get a buyer a loan for a damaged home and do the repairs after closing all the while having insurance to satisfy the lender.

Owner Wants to Stay

What if an owner owns a home and it is wiped out or heavily damaged by the flood for more than the $250,000 flood coverage and they have a current mortgage on the property? FHA has another loan program called the FHA 203H that is only available in special disaster situations. It is a 100% LTV loan meaning no equity in the home is needed. The homeowner can finance on top of the current mortgage so they can rebuild or rehab their home without having to sell.

FEMA Resources

FEMA has setup two disaster centers that will help answer insurance type questions as well as tell you what is available through the state and federal government.  Cape Coral and Fort Myers are allowing people to setup trailers on their property while their home is being worked on. They may have trailer assistance available for you as well as a plethora of other options.

Forbearance

Your mortgage company may call you with some payment relief options that can help. Be careful though as forbearance options shouldn’t harm your credit score but it will affect your ability to finance another home for 2-3 years. You would think when the government offers a relief program it wouldn’t harm you in other ways, so be careful. If you have a FNMA or Freddie Mac insured loan the forbearance is 18 months and is added to the end of the loan. Interest does accrue. Private lenders might require the interest be paid in bulk at some point, and that might be too much for some borrowers.

Assignment of Claim

We have been successful in transferring the right under a claim to new buyers who are buying a damaged home. This is different that assignment of benefits whereby a contractor takes over the claim for your home. This is especially useful in cash transactions as many mortgage companies will not finance a new purchase with an existing claim outstanding.

Be Leary of Out of Town Contractors

Out of town contractors come here looking to make a fast buck. Some are reputable and are lifesavers, while others simply collect as many deposits as they can and skip town. Dealing with a reputable local company when you can is wise because they have a local reputation at stake, and often times you know where to find them.

FEMA 50% Rule

Many cities will require damaged homes to adhere to new building codes. Naples is just one example. If the cost of improvements or the cost to repair the damage exceeds 50% of the market value of the building, it must be brought up to current floodplain management.  See Naples Requirements. Look for Lee County and other cities to enact similar requirements.

 

Scammers

Be aware of scammers, both online and at your door or on the phone. Not everybody is who they claim to be. Be careful clicking on links. Scammers today are more clever than ever.

Property to Sell

If you have a property to sell, always call the Ellis Team at Keller Williams Realty. We are local and we have trusted resources. The Ellis Team cares about our clients and will do what’s right by you. We are not in it to make a fast buck. You can reach us at 239-310-6500 We’re here to help. If you have questions, we might know where to find the answer for you.

Praise God to all that survived, and prayers for the ones that did not!