US home buyer activity increases as interest rates decline. Mortgage applications are up in the purchase market, which is a signal that homebuyers are ready to react as affordability increases.
SW Florida Home Buyer Activity Increases
Locally single-family home pending sales increase by 49 units for the week, up to 2,076 from 2,027 the week prior. This is either a result of lower interest rates or the fact that Easter is late this year, which may prolong the season. In any event, it is a welcome sign amongst home sellers. Currently we have a 8.33-month supply of homes on the market in Lee County. Our team has identified the best and worst areas of Lee County housing supply we’ll share in a future article. Some of those numbers may surprise you.
Forecast Track
So far 2025 has gone pretty much as expected. Experts predicted 2025 will be much the same as 2024 with little change. What’s changed are the odds for Federal Reserve rate cuts and tariffs. The bond market has already started bidding rates lower, so the Federal Reserve may be late to the party and more reactionary. That’s not new news. The wildcard is tariffs and the economy. Will the US enter a recession? How quickly will the tariff situation work itself out?
While the US may win in the long run, what will the dust up do to consumer sentiment? Most experts believe leveling the playing field was a necessary step. Nobody has done it yet, presumably because doing so is messy. Short term pain is worth long-term benefits, unless you’re the one relying on retirement benefits to pay for the here and now.
Next Steps
If this whole thing gets worked out in the next month or two, we’ll be OK. The next few weeks are critical. Absent everything working out, incremental wins will suffice. If countries start signing deals with the US, companies can make decisions about where to relocate manufacturing. Some will come back to the US, and that has already started. Others may go to countries that sign favorable deals with us soon. Watch for India and other countries make a play for China manufacturing.This will put China in a box. China has the most to lose, so look for them to pull out a few tricks of their own. They could withhold rare earth minerals, pharmaceuticals, etc. Once the dust settles, China stands to lose influence around the world, so they won’t take that lightly.
Iran
Iran is also a wildcard. Their nuclear program is nearing the danger phase. A nuclear Iran would bring instability around the middle east, and countries like Saudi Arabia and Israel won’t stand for it. Look for this to heat up in the next month, and Lord knows how this could affect everything. So when people ask, what’s the market going to do this year, it’s complicated.
For now, we work on what we can control. Affordability is increasing for buyers, and we believe they should take advantage of that. Buyers have an excellent selection to choose from, and negotiating leverage with sellers is good.
If you’d like to find out what your home is worth, go to www.SWFLhomevalues.com for an instant quote. If you’d like to shop for a home anywhere in SW Florida, check out www.LeeCountyOnline.com
For questions, Always Call the Ellis Team at Keller Williams Realty 239-489-4042. We’re here to help, no matter where the economy takes us, or who’s acting up! We’re all in this together!