Let’s look at the latest SWFL housing demand numbers and see if we can spot some trends.
SWFL Housing Demand Numbers
Inventory tends to increase in season then decrease after season for two reasons. Either a property sells in season, or an owner takes it off the market because it didn’t sell. Some owners only want to sell in season. Some owners believe properties sell for more in season. The numbers suggest higher sales prices in season, but that doesn’t mean homes sell for more in season. Many times, higher priced homes sell in season which raises the overall numbers. That is different than stating that all homes went up in value in season.
Pending sales tend to decrease after season. There are less eyeballs viewing properties in season because less people are in SW Florida out of season. The buyers that are looking in the summer and Fall tend to be good buyers, and more are local. Some buyers fly back into SWFL in the summer to purchase because they started shopping too late in season or didn’t like the prices of what was listed.
Ironically, buyers turned off certain properties because they did not agree with the value. Sellers turned off and took their home off the market because they did not agree with dropping their price any further to meet where the buyers were for their property. That’s what we call a good old-fashioned standoff. Both buyers and sellers are turned off, so they both sit back and wait.
What Happens in Fall
Sellers who would like to sell took their home off the market waiting for prices to increase. What happens if the market stabilizes and thousands of sellers all decide to put their home back on the market? What about new sellers that haven’t tried yet but would now like to sell? As interest rates decline and the economy improves, home prices might not go back up as there is shadow inventory waiting to hit the market. We use the word shadow for home sellers that are not selling now but would like to when conditions improve.
Advice to Sellers
The market may not improve for you much even when rates decline and the economy improves. You are in competition with all the other sellers, both on the market now and in the future. We don’t know how many there will be, but we do know how many tried and failed. That is a clue. They raised their hands and would have sold, so it’s safe to assume they’d like to sell at some point in the future. The market will eventually improve, but it may take time. We have to work down the inventory, both current and future shadow inventory.
If you’d like to sell, think about your motivation. What will this sale do for you? If you’re not motivated and willing to meet the buyers where they are, you may not have success. Other sellers have tried and failed. Those that succeed meet the market and they sell. Remember, if you are also buying in this market, you benefit from the same market you don’t like as a seller.
Always Call the Ellis Team
Call Brett Ellis or Sande Ellis 239-310-6500 and we can go over your home value, your motivation, and discuss if now is the time for you to sell. It’s possible you’ll get a better price today than you will months from now. Nobody knows for certain because we can’t predict how many sellers will decide to sell. We can sort of predict the buyers, but they are not your competition. The other sellers are.
Or visit www.SWFLhomevalues.com to get a free online instant home value which you can track over time. Good luck, and Happy Selling!