June housing inventory levels remained at 3 weeks of inventory compared to April.  We did see some movements in the markets the past few months.  Let’s look at which price ranges changed since April.

June Housing Inventory Levels Update

We have a little more inventory today in the $300k-$600k price range.  The $300-400k range grew by 42 homes and the $400-600k range grew by 50 homes.  Overall inventory grew by 91 homes. We saw an increase of 38 homes on the market in the $250-300k range.  All price ranges saw increases in inventory except for $250,000 and below which all saw decreases in inventory.  What offset the increase in inventory was steep closed sales in the $300k+ market.

While $300k plus market did very well, the $600k+ market is booming. June housing inventory levels are declining in the $600k+ market while it is increasing in the $250k-600k market.

The 365-day moving average number of homes sold has increased since April which indicates the market is gobbling up any increased inventory. The numbers tell us we have a robust housing market despite rising interest rates.

In April we saw a 160.2% increase in the number of cash sales over 2020.  Closed sales were up 63.3% in April, so this tells us more buyers are paying cash.  In fact, 35.5% of all deals in April were cash.

If closed sales were up 63% in April, why are agents talking about a slowdown?  We may see a slowdown in sales, but it will not be because of lack of demand.  Supply plays a role too.  New builders may turn out less product in the second half of 2020 and it will not be due to lack of buyers.  Many builders have cut off sales to keep their backlog manageable.

We will keep our eyes on the market to see if certain price ranges begin to accumulate inventory.  So far we are not seeing it in any meaningful way, and in fact many ranges are still decreasing.

New Listings We are Working On

Our team has been working on several nice listings we will be bringing to the market soon.  What is different now than in years past is it seems to take sellers longer to make their decision to sell. Many factors go into a decision to sell and sometimes a lot of things need to happen first.  We work with sellers to help with these details.

We have a new program for sellers that allows them to purchase a home first then sell their existing property with no interest or payments for 6 months on their existing home.  With the correct marketing plan sellers receive Top Dollar in this market.  The biggest mistake we see sellers make is believing the market is hot, so they will automatically receive top dollar.  There is a difference between selling for a number you would settle for versus selling for the top end of what the market will pay.  Sometimes that difference can be tens of thousands of dollars or more.

To find out what your home is worth, go to www.SWFLhomevalues.com  This is a starting point.  Often, we are selling homes above appraised value.  You can speak with Brett or Sande Ellis at 239-310-6500 and we can discuss how much we could really sell your home for, where you would go, and help with those details that impact whether it is a good time to sell now or not.  Believe it or not, it is not usually the price that matters to sellers.  Working out the details of how a sale would work is usually the biggest obstacle.  Many people would like to sell if only they had someone to help them with all the details.

This is where the Ellis Team comes in.  We look forward to working with you to manage all those details and get you Top Dollar.

Good luck, and Happy House Hunting!

It sounds like a broken record repeating itself for the past two years.  Housing inventory levels fall again in April.  We did see a glimmer of hope for homebuyers in the $400-$600k range and in the $600k-$1 million range as listing inventory increased.  However, the market scooped it all up and sales increased which drove their months’ supply of inventory down with it.

Housing Inventory Levels Fall Again

Not only did overall inventory decline to a .78-month supply, but every single price range also saw drops in levels as well.  This is a broad market inventory decline across the board.  Many times, we will see segments of the market doing better than others. In this case, all price segments are seeing housing inventory levels fall.

Housing Shortage

Recent reports by Freddie Mac indicate the US is 3.8 million homes short of meeting the United States housing demand.  This shortage has led to buying frenzies across the nation at a time when millennials are entering the market. Combine with the fact that people are relocating more as they learn to work remotely, and you have a recipe for increased demand and not enough supply.

Historically low rates have also fueled people to either stay in place and refinance or make the move.  Now that rates have risen a bit from their lows, less people are refinancing.  Because of this, we believe 2021-2022 will be the timeframe when more people decide to sell what they have and make a move.

It will be interesting to watch inventory levels.  As more people sell so they can purchase, will this increase inventory?  Because we have this shortage it may not make a big enough dent.  Demand may still outstrip supply.

We have noticed an uptick in home sellers wondering if now might be the time to sell.  They like that prices have risen, and they are beginning to weigh their options.  Some sellers are questioning how much they love their home and if they should risk holding on to it longer.  Prices have risen significantly the past several years, and this might be the point in time home sellers have been waiting for.

How Long Will it Last?

The dilemma is how long will this last?  Nobody wants to leave money on the table, and yet, sellers do not want to wait too long and miss the top of the market.  The reality is you will never know the top of the market until it has passed. By then, it is too late and headed down.  When the market heads down, it can be a long, slow ride lasting several years. Buyers do not like buying when the market is headed down.  Once word gets out, some buyers shut off out of fear and wait until the market bottoms.  That process can take several years.

Our best advice is, if you love the home you are in and it suits your needs, you do not need to do anything.  If your home no longer suits your needs, and you do not absolutely love it, now may be the time to explore.

For over a decade many SW Florida homeowners were trapped in a home they did not love, but because the market turned so drastically, they were trapped.  We do not see any signs today’s market will be like 2005.  What we are saying is it can be frustrating owning a home that does not suit your needs for too long.

Always Call the Ellis Team

Call Brett or Sande Ellis 239-310-6500 and we can discuss your options.  We will talk about where you would go if you did sell, and what timeframe would work for you.  Or, if you are just curious for now, you can go to www.SWFLhomevalues.com and get an instant and free home valuation on your home.  It emails you a report in minutes and is a good starting place for a conversation.

Whatever your housing situation, Brett and Sande are here to answer your questions.  We should talk!

Good luck and Happy House Selling!