Today we’re analyzing Southwest Florida market supply by city. In doing so, we’re attempting to identify hot spots or cities seeing improvements.
Southwest Florida Market Supply
Bonita/Estero leads the county with only 5.49 months’ supply of inventory. Back in December of 2025 that number was 5.18, so it worsened a little bit.
Fort Myers is next with a month’s supply of homes at 5.90 months. It worsened from 5.79 months back in December, but it is better than the 6.01 months’ supply in February 2026. Fort Myers experienced a 40% rise in home sales over January 2025 which helped decrease inventory.
Cape Coral is one city that improved since December, coming in at 6.08 months’ supply currently. Back in December that number was 6.11.
Lehigh Acres also improved slightly from December, coming in at 7.17 months in March 2026 compared to 7.20 in December.
Cities Struggling
Fort Myers Beach is struggling the most. Today single-family home inventory stands at 21.03 months, which is worse than the 19.79 back in December. The barrier islands are at 15.43 months’ supply today compared to 16.44, so they got better.
Condos on Fort Myers Beach seem to be selling better this season than any season since Hurricane Ian as prices have adjusted and so has life on the beach.
Current Market Index
The Ellis Team Current Market Index fell to 3.67 which signifies the market is getting better for sellers. 2026 could be that transition year we’ve been looking for. You know, the transition between a declining market and the next market. So far, 2026 is shaping up to being a stabilization market. If this trend continues, it gives the market time to decide what it wants to be. All signs point to a shifting market back towards a sellers’ market, but we need more time.
The overall market month’s supply of homes is 6.55. This is still in buyer’s market territory, but as you can see from the graph, all real estate is local. Different parts of the county are behaving differently, and this is not uncommon. What is uncommon is the disparity, but I think we can chalk that up to effects and damage from the hurricanes as well as psyche about living in potential flood areas.
The Ellis Team Luxury Inventory Index stands at 4.47, down from last week’s 4.95
FEMA
FEMA is considering map revisions to its flood maps with changes anticipated by summer. Perhaps we’ll do an article soon about the proposed changes.
If flood map changes weren’t enough, we are awaiting any ramifications from the war in Iran. Many are hopeful the tyrant reign and terror will be over for the US, Israel, and Arab neighbors. The question is what will be the effects in the short term on the oil markets, inflation, and interest rates? I’m writing this article before the CPI and PCE numbers are released this week. We’re also writing this before the Ellis Team Luxury CMI Index and Market Spread Index (MSI) are released. We expect the MSI to show improvement over last Friday’s 5,875 number. A mid to low 5,700’s would not surprise us.
Thinking of Selling?
You should talk to the data experts at the Ellis Team. We prefer data over drama. We don’t pay attention to sensational headlines based upon yesterday’s news. The Ellis Team has been known for creating indexes that accurately predict real estate cycles, and we report that to you. Call Brett Ellis or Sande Ellis at 239-489-4042 for your professional analysis of what we could sell your home for, or visit www.SWFLhomevalues.com for an instant online estimate.
Good luck, and Happy Selling!
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Thanks for sharing these numbers. The contrast between Fort Myers’ rising sales and Fort Myers Beach’s high inventory really highlights how localized the market can be, even within the same county.
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