Most people like a good deal, so it’s quite natural to assume that the company that charges the least for a service will maximize your profit.  This couldn’t be further from the truth. The agent you choose to sell your home could cost you thousands.

This is the time of year when locals who have been swamped all season long begin to breathe and reflect on their housing situation.  They ask questions like, has the market value on our home gone up?  Could we afford to move into a bigger home, downsize to a smaller home, or move on the water?

Agent You Choose to Sell Your Home Could Cost You Thousands

The first thing people want to know is what is my home worth?  The second is how much will it cost to sell and how much will I walk away from?  The answers to these questions help answer the next question, where could we go and how much will that cost?

A good Realtor can help.  Sometimes when people call our office the first question they ask is how much do you charge?  If I wasn’t in this business it’d probably be the first question I’d ask too.

Since I am, I want to give an insiders point of view that will help prospective sellers.  Given what I know, this should be the last question asked.

Proper pricing is important.  You want to choose a Realtor who understands the market and can properly guide you so you’re working in reality.  If your whole exercise in exploring a move is based on fantasy, you’ve wasted a lot of time and inconvenience.

Secondly, it doesn’t so much matter what the listing agent charges.  It matters how much you net out at the closing.  I tell people if I charged 20% commission but got my sellers 30% more than any other agent could, would that fee seem high?  The answer is no, it’d be a bargain.  The truth is we don’t charge 20% and we don’t get 30% more than the average agent.

Agent You Choose to Sell Your Home Could Cost You Thousands-SW Florida Home Value

However, we do sell our listings for more than the average agent.  Some agents out there may charge less than other agents.  The beauty is there is no set rate by law, and that’s a good thing.  You’re free to choose who can put the most money in your pocket at closing, and that’s typically an experienced agent who does a lot of marketing and has excellent negotiating skills.  The kind of negotiating skills that comes from thousands of transactions.  Some agents only sell a few homes per year, so ask to see their track record.

Also ask to see their marketing.  Owners assume that all newspaper ads are the same.  Look at the frequency, and the size of your home in the ad.  If you need a magnifying glass, chances are the buyer will to and won’t see it.

Is your property aggressively marketed online too?  Would you know the difference?  Sure, all Realtors will tell you your home will be marketed online, but what if there were some key differences the agent didn’t tell you about?  What if the agent doesn’t really know and just repeats what the company tells them?

It pays to call someone who really does know.  Selling your home for less than you could is like a hidden tax.  You’ll never know what could have been.  And how will you know you’re getting the best deal on your next home?

A great agent can help.  If you’re considering making a move, call us at 239-489-4042 and sit down with us and we’ll guide you through all of it.  Calling the wrong agent could cost you thousands.  It could cost you the sale entirely and cause you to miss your dream home.

The Agent You Choose to Sell Your Home Could Cost You Thousands

You can get a ballpark value on our website www.Topagent.com but keep in mind that’s only a ballpark.  We’d prefer to come out and see your home and go over the details for better accuracy.  Not every agent in our company or in town works the way we do.  Always Call the Ellis Team at RE/MAX   239-489-4042

SW Florida Real Estate Market Update

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By Brett Ellis

Ellis Team – Keller Williams Realty Fort Myers & the Islands

Fort Myers Real Estate Agent

1520 Royal Palm Square Blvd #160

Fort Myers, FL 33919

239-489-4042

Circle the date. April 21, 2015 things are going to change in a significant way.  These are the words directly from Google.  We’re talking about Mobilegeddon, and whether you’re a real estate agent, business owner, or consumer, you will be affected on April 21. So we ask the question, is SW Florida ready for mobilegeddon?

Since 2013 I’ve been speaking to agents nationwide about the importance of having a mobile friendly website.  Google has stated how important mobile is and they do not want to rank websites high if the consumer doesn’t have a good experience on their mobile device when they get there.

SW Florida Ready for Mobilegeddon Share of US Digital Media

Last year we told readers that consumers were spending more time on the web from their mobile then they were on their desktop computer. ComScore data proves this out, and many webmasters who view their logs will tell you mobile is more popular now than desktop.

The problem is, many websites are not setup to handle mobile visitors properly. Portent recently crawled 25,000 sites and found that 40% of those sites were not mobile friendly.

If you’re on your mobile device you can do a search in Google and it will return results. It will say if the results are mobile friendly, but you better pay attention to those results.  The companies you see today may not be the same companies you see on April 21.  If they do not have the mobile friendly seal of approval from Google, they are going to drop out of the search results.  This is significant.

Mobilegeddon will be a larger algorithm change than either the Panda or Penguin updates.  If this is all Greek to you, it’s OK.  Consumers don’t need to know all the details, but local businesses do.

Consumers who are hiring a real estate agent should ask questions about the agent’s web presence and whether it’s mobile friendly.  The public tends to think all agents are the same and all advertising is the same.

I can assure you all agents do not have the same negotiating skills, nor do they have the same marketing skills.  Pretty soon we’re going to find out which agents win in the online marketing business.

If you’re a buyer or seller, Mobilegeddon is going to matter to you.  The buyers will be directed to sites that are mobile friendly. According to one site buyers are 53% more likely to purchase from mobile while they are shopping.

SW Florida Ready for Mobilegeddon Top 15 Smartphone Apps

Imagine buyers driving around looking at neighborhoods.  When they see a neighborhood or sign they like, do you think they write it down to pull up later or do they inquire on their Smartphone?  The answer is they are not waiting.

The Ellis Team is receiving many mobile leads per week.  The registration form even says Mobile lead.  We’re receiving phone calls directly from the online information as well.

Buyers today want immediate information.  They go on Smartphones first.  If they call, they don’t want voicemail.  They want to talk to a live person.  They can get general info online in an instant, so your systems better be designed to answer that call when the buyer is ready.  If the agent isn’t ready when the buyer is, they’ll find another agent.  Statistics show buyers and sellers work with the first person they talk to 70% of the time.

If you’re a seller, you’ll want to list with an agent who’s ready for Mobilegeddon and has systems and people to answer the phone.  If you miss either step, you miss the buyer.  Buyers want the same thing.  They don’t like wasting time, and they want an agent who is up to today’s way of doing business.

Our website is mobile friendly.  www.Topagent,com You can search for homes, find out your home’s value, ready weekly articles, and get market statistics on your desktop, tablet, or Smartphone.  Do some searches on your Smartphone this weekend, then try again on April 21st.  What you see may be different.

You can call us at 239-489-4042

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Bella Casa Luxury Condominiums Fort Myers, FL

Don’t forget April is the Bella Casa Luxury Condo Closeout Event. Call to get a great deal and be sure to check out the resort style pool, tennis court, clubhouse.  Best of all Condo fees are only $220/mo and no CDD

SW Florida Real Estate Market Update

 

Check out Bella Casa Condominiums.  We’ll be happy to show you this project in South Fort Myers

Other Resources

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New Construction For Sale

Fishing and Boating in SW Florida

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Ellis Team

Fort Myers Real Estate Agent

7910 Summerlin Lakes Dr

Fort Myers, FL 33907

239-489-4042

Traffic on the roads has slowed down in town, but traffic in the real estate community hasn’t.  We’ve listed some homes and had contracts on them in short time. So we asked the question, did the dates for season change this year?

Last week two deals fells out and I was kind of mad because the seller had taken their home off the market for 2-3 weeks in March only to have a buyer decide they’re not buying in Lee County.  The sellers had just given up most of March for a flaky buyer.

The good news is within a few days we found a cash buyer with another cash buyer in waiting and the property will close near the original closing date so the seller is happy.  I’ve spoken with several real estate agents who tell similar stories and they feel the buyers are still engaged and looking.

Did the Dates for Season Change This Year

I decided to delve into the pending sales statistics to see if what I’m seeing is true overall, and the answer looks to be it is.  As I’ve stated before agents tend to judge the market by how their own deals are going rather than looking big picture.

I looked at new pending sales in February which is the latest data released and they were up 21% this year, as you can see from the chart.  This has been a positive trend dating back to September 2014.

Did the Dates for Season Change This Year?

Fort Myers Real Estate statistics-Cape Coral

Almost every statistical category has improved over last year, from median days on market, percent of list price received, pending inventory, active listings, and month’s supply of inventory.

I’m not sure you can call a 6.1% decrease in active listings an improvement because we need more, but it does signal we’re in a great market for sellers.

Because February data doesn’t always tell the story in April I decided to search the MLS for pending sales right now.  This week it came back at 2,531 pending listings, up from 2,386 back in February.

I’m thankful for all the pending sales we have right now, but I’m eve more thankful for the two that just sold again in April after having their deal fall out.  That is a wonderful sign.

We have several new construction deals in place too as some buyers just could not find what they were looking for in the resale market.  Sometimes it just doesn’t exist.  Buyers are surprised to find that when they enter their search criteria sometimes there is only 3-4 matches.  Sometimes it’s zero.

This is why it’s important to have your finances in order so when you spot that house that matches your criteria you’re in a position to pounce.  Other buyers just like you are also waiting for that home to hit the market.  You cannot assume you are the only buyer.

It’s kind of like dating on one of those Internet dating sites.  When a new attractive person enters the site they’re going to get immediate interest.  In real estate, the best homes go fast and the one’s that sit there are the unattractive and overpriced homes.

Just like dating, there’s a match for everyone, you just have to play in your league.  If you’re an overweight balding middle age man that drinks beer and sits on the couch all day you’re probably not going to attract that active in-shape 25 year old model.  She’s going to end up with someone in her league, not yours.

In real estate, all homes will find a buyer at the right price.  Even if the home is unattractive someone will buy it.  You just have to price it in the right league, or get off the couch and work on it.  When price meets value, a home will sell.

Don’t wait when you see your home come on the market. Feel free to search the MLS at www.Topagent.com

If you’re selling, call an experienced match maker who can help you play in your league.  We’ll get your home sold and you’ll be on your way to having fun.  239-489-4042

Call us to sell your home. 239-489-4042

 

Bella Casa Closeout Event
Bella Casa Luxury Condominiums Fort Myers, FL

Don’t forget April is the Bella Casa Luxury Condo Closeout Event. Call to get a great deal and be sure to check out the resort style pool, tennis court, clubhouse.  Best of all Condo fees are only $220/mo and no CDD

SW Florida Real Estate Market Update

Check out Bella Casa Condominiums.  We’ll be happy to show you this project in South Fort Myers

Other Resources

Fun Things to do in SW Florida

New Construction For Sale

Fishing and Boating in SW Florida

Lee County Florida Sports

SW Florida Entertainment

 

Ellis Team

Fort Myers Real Estate Agent

7910 Summerlin Lakes Dr

Fort Myers, FL 33907

239-489-4042

Nationally I’ve been reading stories about writers concern there may be another housing bubble forming.  Anytime prices rise people wonder when it will peak, and anytime prices fall people wonder when it will bottom.  It’s just human nature. So the question is, has the SW Florida real estate market run out of stem?

SW Florida Real Estate Market Sales Prices 2015

Latest national statistics released this week show pending sales up 3.1% despite colder weather up North.  With an improving economy and still historic low interest rates it would be hard to argue the market could cool off.

Another report suggests home prices are outpacing wages which could damper prices.  This is true.  Sometimes home prices rise faster on low supply, and when this rise outpaces wages eventually this can slow price growth until wages catch back up.  It’s not totally a supply/demand market as other economic forces will limit prices beyond simply supply.

As you can see from the attached chart, locally our prices have more than doubled in the past 4 years.  SW Florida has been on a good run, so naturally people may wonder if there is a bubble forming locally as well.

The good news is we don’t think so.  Are 25% price gains year after year sustainable?  That answer is no.  February 2015 median sales prices were up 6.5% over 2014.  That is sustainable.  Traditionally average annual price gains have been 3-5%.

It’s quite natural our prices have doubled because really they fell too far and too fast in the bust.  That was an over-reaction due to a banking crisis and banks dumping assets on the market.

Banks are lending again and they no longer have the properties to dump on the market.  Prices fell below replacement cost which means they were artificially too low.  We think prices are back to a healthy balance between replacement value, supply, demand, and economic conditions.

The future looks better for SW Florida than does the rest of the country.  The US economy is growing again and that’s good news for everyone but it isn’t growing at the pace it should be.  By all accounts Florida is, and SW Florida is leading the way.

We have below state and national unemployment averages.  Our weather and lifestyle is an alluring attraction to employers and employees alike.

Home building is back which will add jobs to our area.  All signs point to a good economic climate in Florida for the foreseeable future.  The prognosis may be for measured, sustainable gains which are always preferable.

Season was busy.  Have you noticed traffic has lightened up substantially this past week?  We’ll be watching March sales numbers when they’re released later in April.  We think they’ll be pretty decent.

All eyes locally turn to the next few months.  We’ll be watching pending sales in April and May and this will give us a pretty god sign of what 2015 will bring.  So far it’s been a good season, but we have noticed a few buyers showing indifference this year compared to years past.  This is always the case, but there is a general feeling amongst some buyers that the big gains are over and our market is back to fully priced.

Nobody is afraid prices could go backwards, but they’re not afraid prices will be 50% higher in 2 years either.  It’s causing pause and normalcy, even in a low inventory market.

If you’re a seller and you’ve been waiting, now may be a good time to sell.  Our prices are up and we don’t have inventory, Yet!  That could change one day when our market flattens out, whenever that day is.  We don’t have that crystal ball.  We just feel it’s more likely to flatten than go up or down substantially.  Better yet, let’s just keep the truck rolling at normal sustainable gains and call it a day!

Call us to sell your home. 239-489-4042  Feel free to search the MLS at www.Topagent.com

 

Bella Casa Closeout Event
Bella Casa Luxury Condominiums Fort Myers, FL

Don’t forget April is the Bella Casa Luxury Condo Closeout Event. Call to get a great deal and be sure to check out the resort style pool, tennis court, clubhouse.  Best of all Condo fees are only $220/mo and no CDD

While selling real estate is a complicated process with lots of details, selling blue skies and sunshine is easy, especially to our Northern friends who have been buried by another brutal winter.

Top Rated SW Florida High Schools

One question that we get asked a lot by people relocating to SW Florida is what are the schools like?  People are deeply concerned about the quality of education their children will receive, and about their resale value.  Up North, the school district may be the largest determinant of their neighborhood’s value.

Top Rated SW Florida High Schools

People are happy to learn that SW Florida does very well in the state of Florida.  In fact, a new study came out from Niche that ranks the top public high schools in Florida.  Niche also ranks colleges, private schools, and elementary and middle schools.

Many people know that Fort Myers High School has consistently ranked in Newsweek’s Top 100 High Schools in America and that in 2008 Fort Myers High School awarded the most I.B (International Baccalaureate) diplomas in North America and was #8 in 2011.

What many may not realize is Fort Myers High School isn’t the only top high school in SW Florida.  In fact, there are 5 top rated SW Florida high schools on the Niche Top 100 in Florida list.

17. Fort Myers High School

29. Naples High School

57. Gulf Coast High School

62. North Fort Myers High School

97. Barron Collier High School

We’ll concentrate on the two Lee County Schools for just a moment.  North Fort Myers High School ranked A- in academics and A in student culture and diversity.  They ranked B+ in teachers, extracurriculars and activities, and sports and fitness.

Fort Myers ranked A in academics, student culture and diversity, extracurriculars and activities, and sports and fitness.  They ranked A- in teachers grade.

Naples ranked A in academics, student culture and diversity, and sports and fitness while ranking B in teachers and health and safety.

Cypress Lake Middle School has long been ranked as one of the top middle schools in the state however this year they didn’t rank in the top 100 according to Niche.  Three Naples middle schools ranked in the top 100, #60 Pine Ridge Middle School, #71 North Naples Middle School, and #96 Gulfview Middle School.

Pelican Marsh Elementary scored highest in Lee and Collier County at #73 in state and Osceola came in at #78 Seagate Elementary came in at #88

Good schools are a staple of a healthy community and a talented and educated work force.  SW Florida has excellent schools all the way up to graduate and post graduate at Florida Gulf Coast University as well as degrees from Florida Southwestern State College.

We have a complete list of high schools on our website with links to each school.

It is impossible for SW Florida to grow into a culturally vibrant community without solid education, and we can all be proud of the education offered here in our area.

A link to the complete Niche Florida rankings can be found:

Best Public High Schools in Florida

Best Public Elementary Schools in Florida

Best Public Middle Schools in Florida

You can also search for your dream home at Topagent.com  We have lots of homes close to schools and universities so have fun searching.

 

 

 

Introducing Bella Casa Luxury Condominiums in Fort Myers

SW Florida Real Estate Market Update

 

Check out Bella Casa Condominiums.  We’ll be happy to show you this project in South Fort Myers

Other Resources

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New Construction For Sale

Fishing and Boating in SW Florida

Lee County Florida Sports

SW Florida Entertainment

 

Ellis Team

Fort Myers Real Estate Agent

7910 Summerlin Lakes Dr

Fort Myers, FL 33907

239-489-4042

Now May be Best Time to Sell Your SW Florida Home

Most people in SW Florida realize the real estate market has been recovering for some time now.  So many either lost their homes or felt like they were in prison trapped in their own homes because they had negative equity.  For the past two years more and more homeowners have been able to sell due to rising equity. Today we’d like to discuss why now may be best time to sell your SW Florida home.

Find out how much your SW Florida home is worth Fort Myers real estate

We still find a large number of home sellers who are surprised that they can finally make a move.  Some like that they are in positive equity positions again and sell while some believe the market is increasing so why sell now? Now May be the Best Time to Sell Your SW Florida Home

Home prices in Lee County are up 44.16% in 2 years.  That’s a remarkable jump but that rate won’t continue.  Here are some facts that might help you decide if now is the right time to sell your home:

  1. The price of your home has gone up and so has the price of your replacement home. If you’re considering selling in Lee County and buying another one locally, waiting can cost you money
  2. Interest rates are going up. We’ve already noticed a slow creep and they’re expected to go higher in the next 2 years.  Not only will rising rates limit the buyer pool of your home, it will increase borrowing costs for your next home should you choose to finance.
  3. Insurance rates are climbing on older homes. Insurance companies may raise rates on homes with older roofs, plumbing, and electrical wiring. It may cost more to stay in your older home than a newer home.
  4. Maintaining an older home can be costly. You may have to spend money on a new roof, appliances, paint, pool, and more in the next 5-10 years. Some sellers elect to put that money into a newer home instead of throwing money at an older home that costs more to maintain and insure.
  5. Your window for opportunity may be shrinking. As interest rates rise your options may dwindle.  It may cost you more to move in 3 years so you decide to stick with what you’ve got.  You’re stuck with an aging home that costs more to insure and maintain simply because you missed the interest rate window.

If you’re unsure about what your home is worth or if now is the right time, we have answers for you.  Simply call the Ellis Team at RE/MAX at 239-489-4042 and we’ll discuss your options.  Everyone’s situation is different and we can guide you through the maze. We can give you detailed pricing estimates and discuss all the factors that affect you.

Why Now May be Best Time to Sell Your SW Florida Home Fort Myers Real Estate

We also have an online computer model that gives you an estimate of your home’s value.  It rates your neighborhood, provides a list of comparable sales with the date your neighbors sold and the sold price per square foot, and an estimate of your home’s value.

Simply go to Topagent.com and click on the Find Out What Your Home is Worth link.  It’s simple and Free.

As always, if you’re serious about making a move there’s no substitute for speaking with a professional.  We’re happy to talk.  We’re here for you either in person or online.  We hope you appreciate our efforts to bring you quality information and we hope that when you decide it is time to sell, you’ll consider calling the Ellis Team at RE/MAX. If you think now may be best time to sell your SW Florida home, we’ll handle you with care. 239-489-4042 or TopAgent.com

Good luck and Happy House Selling!

Introducing Bella Casa Luxury Condominiums in Fort Myers

SW Florida Real Estate Market Update

Check out Bella Casa Condominiums.  We’ll be happy to show you this project in South Fort Myers

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Ellis Team

Fort Myers Real Estate Agent

7910 Summerlin Lakes Dr

Fort Myers, FL 33907

239-489-4042

Last week we discussed economic forces that will affect SW Florida real estate.  Much of this information was shared at the CCIM Outlook Conference in January.  Dr Lawrence Yun was the keynote speaker and he was a wealth of information.  Lawrence is the chief economist at NAR (National Association of Realtors) This week we’d like to focus on renting versus buying real estate.

Lawrence had some slides for the commercial brokers about how rising interest rates will eventually cause cap rates to rise, but there is a cushion so they may not have to rise immediately.  Rising cap rates can negatively affect property values.

Lawrence also presented data how rates are expected to rise starting this year and how that will affect mortgage rates.

Renting Versus Buying Real Estate Monetary Policy by Federal Reserve

If you look at the Monetary Policy graph you’ll notice that the Fed has kept the Fed Funds rate at 0%.  The Fed Funds rate is the rate banks and depository institutions lend balances to each other overnight.  I won’t bore you with details on how this works, but suffice it to say 0% is pretty low.

0% also isn’t the norm and those rates are not going to hold.  The Fed has halted its Quantitative Easing Program and the Fed Funds rate is most likely next.  This will affect mortgage interest rates going forward.  The 10 yr Treasury bond yield stands about 2.4% and is expected to rise to about 2.9% this year and 4.2% next year.  Mortgage rate changes are closely tied to the 10 yr bond yield changes.

Renting Versus Buying Real Estate

Rents are rising rapidly now and are expected to further rise.  As interest rates go up, this will put further pressure on rents to rise.  Landlord’s borrowing costs go up which forces them to attempt to raise rates if they can get it.  Rising rates also forces more buyers to rent as they qualify for less mortgage payment, which adds to the rental pool.  This in turn helps landlords raise rents.

owners equivalent rent renters rent

The best time to buy is before the mortgage rates start climbing.  When they do buyers finally get it and there is a buying frenzy, because nobody wants to pay higher rents or higher mortgage payments.  With low inventory it’s not a good scene to be caught in a buying frenzy when rates start to rise.  This puts an increase on prices, at least temporarily.  When the demand subsides, you as a buyer are left with the picked over houses nobody else want and higher rates to boot.

Jobs are rising in Florida.  If you’re renting right now you should seriously consider your options.  Last week we showed a graph how owning real estate is one of the drivers to accumulating long term wealth.  Let your new home do the heavy work for you.  You’ve got to live somewhere anyway, so why not pay yourself first instead of your landlord?

Can you really count on Social Security and Medicare being there for you when you retire?  Most people today say No!  Call the Ellis Team at RE/Max Realty Group 239-489-4042 and we’ll guide you through the process.  We’ll even get you pre-approved for a mortgage and show you the steps it takes to purchase.  Don’t wait until your lease is up.  Don’t wait for rates to rise!  Your options dwindle the longer you wait.

Feel free to search the MLS at www.Topagent.com  Don’t hesitate to call us for help or with questions. 239-489-4042  We’re here to help you get on the path to homeownership and wealth.  It’s not complicated when you have a professional in your corner guiding you every step of the way.

Good luck and Happy House Hunting!

Introducing Bella Casa Luxury Condominiums in Fort Myers

SW Florida Real Estate Market Update

Check out Bella Casa Condominiums.  We’ll be happy to show you this project in South Fort Myers

Other Bella Casa Website

Ellis Team

Fort Myers Real Estate Agent

7910 Summerlin Lakes Dr

Fort Myers, FL 33907

239-489-4042

Each year we provide a SW Florida Real Estate State of the Market Report based on year-end numbers and current trends we see in the local SW Florida real estate market.

Fort Myers real estate cape Coral year end sale prices SW Florida Real Esttae

SW Florida Real Estate State of the Market Report

Today we’d like to update you on sales prices and inventory levels.  As you can see from the Year End Prices graph, prices have been moving upward since 2009.  The median sale price in 2009 was $90,400.  Compare that to 2014 median price of $190,000 and you can see that prices have more than doubled in just 5 short years.

We have circled the last year on the graph to call to your attention something we’ve been saying for awhile.  While our market is as healthy as it’s been in years, we could be returning to a period of more moderate growth, which is a good thing.  As we learned from the previous Boom, the market cannot sustain 15-20% prices increases forever.  Everybody knows that.  Traditionally 3-5% is the average, and we’ve been beating that by wide margins.  This was OK because in our opinion the market over-reacted and fell too far, so it had a ways to go on the upside.  Prices were well below replacement cost and that too cannot last forever.

SW Florida Real Estate State of the Market Report

Inventory levels are still below what they were in 2012 and 2013.  Inventory has risen recently but it always does this time of year.  Inventory levels bear watching in 2015 and the levels of inventory could foretell future pricing.

Most experts agree that somewhere around 5.5 months supply of inventory is a healthy balanced market.  It is not either a sellers or buyers market but rather neutral.  As you can see from the Months Supply graph the overall market sits at exactly 5.5 months supply.

We are seeing increased closings this past December versus previous years, so inventory is going to have to climb to feed the beast.  If it does not, prices could rise quickly again this year.  If listing inventory does rise, prices could rise moderately.  Or, the market could turn off to keep inventory in check.  Time is the ultimate variable here, as time cures all ills.  Lack of time in a competitive market creates rising prices.

Season is the time of year we test the market’s mettle. Starting in January prices begin climbing, so we’ll be watching the next few months to see what rate prices rise and at what rate listings climb or decline.  Listings tend to decline starting in January or February as pending sales deplete available inventory.

It’s safe to say we’re in a supply/demand market right now.  We’re watching several variables that could influence the market but none stand out as imminent right now.  The President’s capital gains increase proposal is probably dead on arrival in Congress so that’s a none-issue right now.

Gas prices are down so buyers have more disposable income.  That won’t last forever but it does help in 2015.  Count on the Ellis Team at RE/MAX to study the market and report any changes.

If you’d like to search the MLS, feel free at www.Topagent.com  If you’re considering selling, give us a call at 239-489-4042 or send us an email at Brett@topagent.com  We’d love to help you!

Thanks for reading the SW Florida Real Estate State of the Market Report.

Good luck and Happy House Hunting!

Check out Bella Casa Condominiums.  We’ll be happy to show you this project in South Fort Myers

Ellis Team

Fort Myers Real Estate Agent

7910 Summerlin Lakes Dr

Fort Myers, FL 33907

239-489-4042

2014 was another banner year by all accounts.  Year end sales numbers for SW Florida real estate market indicate a recovering market in 2014.  This makes several years in a row of double-digit or near double-digit gains.

For the record the official numbers suggest a 8.6% increase in median single family home sale prices in 2014, up from $174,000 in 2013 to $189,000 this past year.

Year End Sales Numbers for SW Florida Real Estate Market

Year End Sales Numbers for SW Florida Real Estate Market

Average sale prices rose 8.1% to $283,529.  Year end sales numbers for SW Florida real estate market are the median of the entire year and not necessarily the final December statistics.  One month sales figures can be deceiving and seasonal, so we take the entire year.

Active inventory fell 12.6% for the year, with inventory currently at 5,394 compared to 6,169 last year.  All year we’ve been telling readers we’re in a low inventory market.  Inventory has been rising the past few months but we’re still down significantly from last year.  Inventory always rises heading into season and typically peaks out in late January or sometime in February.  It’s hard to keep inventory when the sales begin popping in season.

SW Florida Real Estate Current Active Inventory January 2015

Each year we tell our sellers sales can be quiet up until about Jan 15-20, and then all heck breaks loose.  Our team has noticed a definite uptick in buyer calls.  2015 season looks to be on par with previous years.  We’re getting some good listing calls too.

We’re going to need some good listings at the rate these buyer calls are coming in.  I spoke with an agent this week at another firm who had an open house this past weekend and 25 customers came in.  Her business is picking up this week and she can’t keep up.

We’re doing an open house tour this week in Cape Coral.  We’ll have 3 homes open on Sunday.  We do our open houses a little bit different so buyers can see several like kind homes.  2 are direct access waterfront homes and the 3rd is located on a fresh water lake with gorgeous views.  Check out our ad in the News Press HomeFinder for times and locations.

If you look at the Year End Prices graph you can see where were are in the recovery process compared to the peak in 2005.  We’ve got some ways to go before we reach that plateau.  If you look closely you can see the price rise in 2014 slowed just a bit.  Nobody can say with certainty what prices will be next year.

All I know is last year we predicted another year of gains, and we should have more gains this year as most signs look good going forward.  The rate of gain may slow, and that is a good thing.  It’s unhealthy to have double digit gains year after year.  Average gains are usually 3-5% per year and we’ve been beating that.

Rising interest rates usually temper buyer buying ability.  Sometimes it spurs more activity from buyers who want to get in at lower costs.  We’ll keep our eyes on interest rates in 2015 along with some other key variables.

In the meantime, enjoy this wonderful market.  If you’re a seller, now is the time to call the Ellis Team 239-489-4042  If you’d like to search the MLS, check out www.TopAgent.com  You can search the entire MLS, or feel free to speak with one of our friendly agents.  Be sure to read all our market updates on our Blog which can be found on our website.

Read last Week’s Article Bella Casa Luxury Condos in South Fort Myers

Good luck and Happy House Hunting!

Check out Bella Casa Condominiums.  We’ll be happy to show you this project in South Fort Myers

Ellis Team

Fort Myers Real Estate Agent

7910 Summerlin Lakes Dr

Fort Myers, FL 33907

239-489-4042

For the past year we’ve been harping on new appraisal issues and their affect on real estate transactions.  Well, we’ve got another doozy to tell you about, and this appraisal ticking time bomb is set to go off January 26.

Appraisal Ticking Time Bomb

Traditionally an appraisal is performed and submitted to the bank and then the underwriter signs off on it.  Before you were clear to go if the underwriter didn’t ask more questions and if the adjustments didn’t exceed certain percentages.

FNMA is doing away with the adjustment percentages in section B4-1.3-09  Before agents and appraisers jump up and down and celebrate beware of the new changes.

Fannie Mae is introducing a new software tool called Collateral Underwriter that essentially will produce up to 20 comparable sales ranked by risk to compare against sales the appraiser uses in their report.

After studying some of the training on FNMA’s website it’s apparent that we’re in for a bumpy ride.  I’m going to introduce you to a term called CBG (Consensus Block Group) This term will cause lenders and appraisers agita. Basically appraisers are supposed to use comparables in the same neighborhood when possible, and if not possible then use a similar nearby neighborhood.

With  Collateral Underwriter the system will select up to 20 properties in the same CBG regardless of whether the neighborhood is similar or not.  As you can imagine here in SW Florida, we have hundreds of neighborhoods with a certain set of values that abut another neighborhood with a different set of values.

For instance, think of Renaissance near I-75 and Daniels.  Renaissance features homes over $1 million, while nearby Danforth Lakes features homes in the $200’s-$300’s range.  This is not a knock against Danforth Lakes; it’s just not a good comparable for Renaissance.

Let’s also talk about the “Risk” factor.  Collateral Underwriter will rank comparable homes it identifies by “Risk” and compares those 20 comps against the comps the appraiser used.  You can bet the higher the sale price, the higher the risk.  So now appraisers might be inclined to not select the best comparable but rather the comps with the least risk of being flagged because of “Risk”.

Guess what happens when the appraisal is shot back to the appraiser for clarification.  The appraiser must now justify why the comps he used were better than the ones the computer used in a separate area but in the same CBG.  Who is going to pay the appraiser for the extra time?  The consumer will.  If they don’t allow the appraiser to pass along the extra costs, they’ll take shortcuts to save time and use less expensive comps.

Does this ultimately protect the banks?  No. It can put a false constraint on prices in the market which doesn’t protect the bank, and certainly not the public.

Why even order the appraisal if you’re not going to trust the boots on the ground?  It seems the computer is taking over and the systems are flawed.  Remember, garbage in, garbage out.  And this goes against the Market Conditions Addenda FNMA requires appraisers to fill out using only neighborhood data.  It’s like FNMA is breaking their own rules.  Appraisers will be expected to reconcile any differences between the addenda and CBG trends.

Lending has become so complex it’s virtually impossible for anyone to Sell By Owner anymore.  It’s also becoming harder for a part-time or inexperienced agent to tread the constant tidal waves coming ashore by new regulations.

If you’re thinking of buying or selling, be sure to call a professional.  Doing it over and losing a sale is always more costly than doing it right the first time.  We can be reached at 239-489-4042.  Search the MLS at www.Topagent.com

 

Check out Bella Casa Condominiums.  We’ll be happy to show you this project in South Fort Myers

Ellis Team

Fort Myers Real Estate Agent

7910 Summerlin Lakes Dr

Fort Myers, FL 33907

239-489-4042